USD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW CLOSED

2026-11-03 12:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.30 %

Entry

158.128

Target

156.962 +0.74 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.603 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 982 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 982 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), DX Trend Weak, STOCHF KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDPrivate Nonfarm Payrolls●●○Forecast 39KPrevious 46Kin 9h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.25
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.70
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.38
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.11
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong SELL signal on USD/JPY 2H with 81% probability, driven by momentum and candlestick confluence.
Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish, but higher timeframes (2H-8H) remain bullish—trade with caution.
Watch the nearest support at 156.962; a break below it confirms the bearish case.
Resistance at 158.336 is the key invalidation level—if price reclaims it, the sell setup is negated.

The USD/JPY 2H signal fires a SELL with strong conviction (81% probability) as a confluence of momentum and candlestick triggers align. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates a shift in buying pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down and KDJ Cross Down confirm bearish momentum. The WILLR OB Exit signals a move away from overbought conditions, and the Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) suggests the pair has broken below a key retracement level. The Tweezers Top candlestick pattern reinforces the bearish reversal at the recent high.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m and 30m charts show bearish trends (3/5 and 2/5 strength), while the 1h, 12h, and 1d are bearish but choppy. However, the 2h, 4h, and 8h are still bullish, albeit weak and sideways. This divergence suggests the sell signal is a counter-trend move against the higher-timeframe bias, but the strong momentum on lower timeframes and the cluster of indicators point to a potential short-term downside. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.336 and support at 156.962; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, KDJ) align bearish, reinforcing the signal.
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) adds a technical confluence for downside continuation.
▼ Tweezers Top candlestick pattern at a recent high signals a potential reversal.
▼ WILLR exiting overbought territory supports the bearish momentum shift.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are still bullish, which could limit downside or trigger a bounce.
▲ The 1H trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear momentum on that timeframe.
▲ If price holds above 158.336 resistance, the sell signal could fail and lead to a reversal.
▲ The overall trend scores on higher timeframes are weak (1/5), so the bearish move may be shallow.