ADA/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 00:00 UTC 16 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +3.55 %

Entry

0.1915

Target

0.2824 +47.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.1820 −4.96 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.09 % per trade 731 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 731 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

23 % at target avg +5.12 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.75 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.86 % 17 % at stop avg −6.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 23 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Up, TTM TREND Trend Up, HMA Direction Up +1 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +3.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 92 % (25.18) ▼ Bearish 8 % (2.29)

model score 91.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.4 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,989 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ADA/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.38
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.37
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.01
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	0.96

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on the 12H hint at a potential counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish trend.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) remain bearish, so the signal may be a short-term opportunity rather than a trend reversal.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.28240; a break could open the door for further upside, while support at 0.18200 is the key downside level.
The Hanging Man candlestick adds a cautionary note, as it can signal a potential reversal but needs confirmation.

The 12H chart for ADA/USDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including the HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, HMA Direction Up, and a TTM TREND Trend Up, alongside a Hanging Man candlestick pattern. This combination suggests a potential short-term bounce or reversal attempt within a broader bearish context. The signal's high probability (86%) and very strong strength indicate that multiple independent indicators are aligning on the 12H timeframe, which can often precede a meaningful price move.

However, the trend across higher timeframes remains predominantly bearish, with the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all showing solid to very strong downtrends. The lower timeframes (15m to 1H) are bullish but choppy, suggesting that the immediate momentum is upward but lacks conviction. The nearest resistance at 0.28240 is a critical level; a break above it could signal a shift in the larger trend, while the nearest support at 0.18200 remains the key downside target if the bearish trend resumes. Traders should watch for price action around these levels to confirm the signal's validity.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (HT PHASOR, SMI, HMA, TTM TREND) are aligned bullish on the 12H, providing strong confluence.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and high probability suggest robust technical backing.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1H) are bullish, supporting the immediate upside momentum.
▲ The Hanging Man pattern, while cautionary, can precede a reversal if confirmed by follow-through buying.

Risk Factors

▼ The dominant bearish trend on 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D could overwhelm the bullish signal, leading to a failed bounce.
▼ The Hanging Man is a bearish reversal pattern; if it plays out, it could negate the bullish signals.
▼ A failure to break above the nearest resistance at 0.28240 would leave the bearish trend intact, with support at 0.18200 as the next downside target.
▼ Choppy lower timeframes indicate weak momentum, which could stall the bullish move.