ADA/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED
10 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −1.02 %
Entry
0.1964
Target
0.1827 +6.98 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.2087 −6.26 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 10 of 15
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 6,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,802 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +1.61 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.50 % 23 % at stop avg −2.02 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.9 % ↓ −3.1 vs previous candle
WEAK Intraday
▲ Bullish 21 % (2.73) ▼ Bearish 79 % (10.29)
model score 5.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 11 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.4 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,989 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
ADA/USDT  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for ADA/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 1h 6%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ RSI OB Exit indicator 2.57
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.29
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.79
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.50
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.30
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.19
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.16
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 1.16
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.00
▼ RSX OB Entry indicator 0.91

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNVery strong trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 1H chart suggests an imminent pullback or reversal.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the SELL direction.
  • Watch the nearest support at 0.18270; a break below confirms the bearish move.
  • The nearest resistance at 0.19700 is the key invalidation level; a close above it would negate the signal.
The 1H ADA/USDT chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down, RSX OB Entry, and HMA Retreat Down, alongside additional indicator and candlestick signals. This confluence suggests that the recent upward momentum on the 1H timeframe is stalling and that the market is likely to reverse or correct lower. The signal aligns with the higher timeframe trend, as the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are all bearish with very strong or solid trend scores. However, the lower timeframes (15m to 4H) remain bullish, indicating that the immediate uptrend may still have some legs, but the bearish pressure from higher timeframes is likely to dominate.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.19700 and the nearest support at 0.18270. A break below the support would confirm the bearish reversal, while a sustained move above the resistance would invalidate the signal. The strong confluence of signals, combined with the bearish alignment on higher timeframes, gives the SELL signal a high probability (75%) and strong strength. Traders should monitor the price action around these levels for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple overbought exit signals (RSI, WILLR) and cross-down signals (STOCHRSI, KDJ, BOP) indicate fading bullish momentum.
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend on 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes provides a higher-timeframe tailwind.
  • ▼ The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down and HMA Retreat Down add to the bearish confluence.
  • ▼ A high probability (75%) and strong signal strength increase the likelihood of the move playing out.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are still bullish, which could delay or counteract the bearish move.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 0.19700, the bearish signal is invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the market consolidates, reducing the impact of the signals.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is still bullish (2/5), so the signal is counter to the immediate trend, increasing the risk of a false signal.
Symbol ADA/USDT
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-04 17:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.19700 2026-10-31
R2 0.20870 2026-10-29
S1 0.18270 2026-11-04

Tags

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