AUD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %

Entry

0.97848

Target

0.97121 +0.74 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.98299 −0.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +24.8 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +8% Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (29.82)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 1 day
15:00TomorrowCADIvey PMI●●○Forecast 57.3Previous 58.2in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.18
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.12
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.97
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	1.79
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.78
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.67
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.33
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.15
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	1.02
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong sell signal on the 1H timeframe, backed by multiple momentum and trend indicators.
Momentum is clearly shifting bearish, with several zero-cross and overbought exit signals aligning.
The 4H and 8H trends are already bearish, supporting the short-term sell bias.
Key levels: resistance at 0.98299, support at 0.97121.

The 1H AUD/CAD sell signal is firing with exceptional strength (86% probability, very strong) as a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators align bearishly. The BOP Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, and ROCR Cross Down all confirm a decisive shift in momentum, while the WILLR OB Exit and CTI OB Exit indicate the pair is exiting overbought conditions. Additionally, the EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down signals show price pulling back from key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish case. This confluence of candlestick and indicator signals points to a high-probability short-term reversal.

However, the medium-term trend is mixed. While the 4H and 8H timeframes show solid bearish trends (3/5), the 1H and 2H are still bullish, and the 15M is only just turning bearish. This suggests the sell signal is leading a potential trend shift, but confirmation on higher timeframes is lacking. The nearest resistance at 0.98299 is the immediate hurdle; a break above that would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, the nearest support at 0.97121 is the target zone, but a failure to hold there could lead to a deeper decline. Traders should watch for follow-through on the 1H and 2H timeframes to confirm the bearish momentum is gaining traction.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple zero-cross signals (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) indicating strong bearish momentum.
▼ Overbought exits (WILLR, CTI) suggest the pair is due for a downside correction.
▼ Price retreating from the 200 EMA and SMA, reinforcing the bearish trend.
▼ Solid bearish trends on the 4H and 8H timeframes provide a higher-timeframe tailwind.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H and 2H timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is premature or a pullback within an uptrend.
▲ A break above the 0.98299 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 15M trend is only just forming, so momentum could fade quickly if buyers step in.
▲ The 1D trend is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction on the daily chart.