AUD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %

Entry

0.97854

Target

0.97374 +0.49 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.99067 −1.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 6 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +8% Intraday

▲ Bullish 15 % (3.52) ▼ Bearish 85 % (19.91)

model score 85.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowCADUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 6.3%Previous 6.5%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowCADEmployment Change●●●Forecast -43.8KPrevious -68.3Kin 1 day
15:00TomorrowCADIvey PMI●●○Forecast 57.3Previous 58.2in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DI CROSS Cross Up	indicator	2.14
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.99
▲	DM CROSS Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.85
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.73
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.20
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.12
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.01

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on 2H: multiple indicators align for a sell.
Higher timeframes (4H, 8H) are bearish, supporting the 2H signal.
Watch resistance at 0.99067; a break above invalidates the bearish setup.
Lower timeframes are bullish, so expect possible short-term bounces.

The 2H AUD/CAD signal is a confluence of momentum and trend indicators pointing to a bearish move. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure, while the STOCH KD Cross Down confirms a momentum shift to the downside. The EMA 50 and SMA 50 Retreat Down signals show that price is pulling back from these key moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias. The DI and DM Cross Up signals suggest that the down-move is gaining strength, and the HT SINE Cross Up adds a cyclical component. The CTI OB Entry signals overbought conditions, which often precede a reversal. Overall, the signal is a strong bearish confluence on the 2H timeframe.

Across timeframes, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) are bearish, with the 4H and 8H showing solid trends. This aligns with the 2H bearish signal, suggesting that the move could have room to extend. However, the lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H) are currently bullish and forming trends, which could provide short-term support or cause a bounce before the bearish move resumes. The nearest resistance is at 0.99067, which is a key level to watch; a break above this would invalidate the bearish signal. The nearest support is not available, so the downside target is less defined.

Catalysts

▼ Higher timeframe trends (4H and 8H) are solidly bearish, aligning with the 2H signal.
▼ Confluence of multiple indicator types (momentum, trend, cyclical) strengthens the signal.
▼ Overbought conditions (CTI OB) suggest a potential reversal downward.
▼ Price retreating from key moving averages (EMA 50, SMA 50) adds resistance.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-1H) are bullish, which could trigger a short-term bounce against the signal.
▲ The 1D timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong daily trend.
▲ If price breaks above 0.99067, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Strength is moderate, suggesting the move may not be very powerful.