AUD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 11:00 UTC 16 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.25 %

Entry

111.095

Target

109.957 +1.02 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.564 −0.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.42
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	2.07
▲	KST Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.61
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.28
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.12
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple 1H indicators align bearish, but trend strength is weak.
Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, supporting a potential larger downtrend.
Watch support at 109.957; a break could accelerate downside.
Resistance at 111.564 caps upside unless broken.

The 1H chart for AUD/JPY has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, and an HMA Retreat Down. These indicate fading bullish momentum in the short term. However, the broader context is mixed: while the 15m and 30m timeframes show strong bullish trends, the 1H trend is only forming, and the 4H through daily timeframes remain bearish and choppy. This suggests the current sell signal may be a counter-trend pullback within a larger bearish structure.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 111.564 and support at 109.957. A break below the support would strengthen the bearish case, while a hold above it could lead to a bounce. The confluence of multiple indicators pointing down on the 1H adds weight to the signal, but the weak trend strength and conflicting higher-timeframe trends warrant caution.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of several bearish signals on the 1H timeframe.
▼ Higher timeframes (4H to daily) are bearish, aligning with the sell bias.
▼ Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band suggests rejection at highs.
▼ BOP and stochastic cross down indicate selling pressure building.

Risk Factors

▲ Strong bullish trends on 15m and 30m could counter the 1H signal.
▲ The 1H trend is still forming bullish, so momentum could resume upward.
▲ A break above resistance at 111.564 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Weak signal strength (56%) and low volatility may lead to choppy price action.