AUD/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.28 %

Entry

111.102

Target

110.201 +0.81 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.564 −0.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 6 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, ZLMA Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +53% Intraday

▲ Bullish 12 % (4.37) ▼ Bearish 88 % (31.74)

model score 87.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	2.03
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	CTI OB Entry	indicator	1.01
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 2H chart suggest a potential downward move.
The signal is very strong, but lower timeframes are still bullish, indicating a possible trend shift.
Watch the 110.20100 support level; a break below it would confirm the bearish outlook.
A move above 111.56400 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.

The AUD/JPY 2H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, alongside bearish candlestick confirmation from a Spinning Top. The confluence of these indicators points to fading bullish momentum and an increased likelihood of a downward move in the near term. The signal's very strong strength (86% probability) is supported by multiple indicator groups aligning in the same direction.

However, the higher timeframe context is mixed. While the 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bearish, the lower timeframes (15m to 1H) are still bullish, suggesting that the immediate trend may be in transition. The nearest resistance at 111.56400 and support at 110.20100 define the key range. A break below support would confirm the bearish bias, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators (BOP, STOCH, BBANDS, candlestick) on the 2H timeframe.
▼ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, aligning with the 2H signal.
▼ The signal's very strong strength (86% probability) suggests high conviction.
▼ The Spinning Top bearish candlestick pattern adds confirmation to the bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 1H) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce before the bearish move resumes.
▲ The 2H trend itself is only 'forming' (2/5), so the bearish trend may not be fully established.
▲ If price breaks above the 111.56400 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The higher timeframe bearish trends are choppy/sideways, which could lead to range-bound price action rather than a clear downtrend.