AUD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
9 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.17 %
Entry
111.020
Target
111.234 +0.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.568 −1.31 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross, SMA 50 Retreat Up, EMA Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 96%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross indicator 2.29
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.11
▲ EMA Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.08
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.07
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 2.04
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.57
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.54
▼ COPPOCK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 1.27
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 0.97

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bullish momentum is building on the 30-minute chart with multiple indicators confirming the move.
  • The trend is aligned bullish on the 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes, supporting the long side.
  • Resistance at 111.02300 is the immediate upside target; support at 109.56800 is the invalidation level.
  • Higher timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and a WILLR oversold exit, with the EMA, HT trendline, KAMA, MA, and SMA 50 all retreating upward. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators suggests that buying pressure is reasserting itself after a pullback, and the price is likely to continue higher toward the nearest resistance at 111.02300. The bullish alignment on the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour timeframes supports the idea that the move is not just a short-term bounce but the start of a more sustained upward phase.

However, the higher timeframes remain bearish, with the 8-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts all showing downside pressure. This means the current bullish signal is occurring within a larger downtrend, and the rally may face strong selling near resistance. The nearest support at 109.56800 is the key level to watch; a break below that would invalidate the bullish setup. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity within a larger bearish context, and consider taking profits near resistance rather than expecting a full reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, WILLR, EMA, HT trendline, KAMA, MA, SMA 50) are all retreating upward, showing strong confluence.
  • ▲ The bullish trend on the 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes aligns, suggesting the move has legs.
  • ▲ The WILLR oversold exit and BOP zero cross up indicate a shift in momentum from selling to buying.
  • ▲ The price is holding above the nearest support, allowing the bullish setup to play out.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 109.56800 would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • ▼ The 15-minute trend is bearish and choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum may be mixed.
  • ▼ The price is approaching resistance at 111.02300, where selling pressure may increase.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.02300 2026-11-02
S1 109.56800 2026-11-04

Tags

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