AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 10:30 UTC 17 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.15 %

Entry

111.157

Target

109.568 +1.43 %

closes in profit

Stop

111.700 −0.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ZLMA Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 4 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 4 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 4 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.91
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.37
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	0.92
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.82

Trend Context

15M

UPVery strong trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals (BOP, STOCHF, KDJ, HMA, ZLMA, ZSCORE) plus candlestick reversals (Northern Doji, Tweezers Top) point to a strong short-term sell opportunity.
Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish and choppy, aligning with the bearish bias, but lower timeframes (15M/30M) are still bullish, creating a conflict.
The nearest support at 109.56800 is the key level to watch; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a hold could invalidate the signal.
The signal has a 77% probability and strong strength, but traders should wait for confirmation on the 30-minute timeframe before committing.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down, ZLMA Retreat Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, Northern Doji, and Tweezers Top. This confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick reversal signals indicates a strong short-term bearish impulse is developing, with the probability of a downside move rated at 77% and strong strength. The immediate trend context is mixed: the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes still show bullish trends (very strong and solid, respectively), while the 1-hour and 2-hour are only forming bullish trends. However, the higher timeframes (4H through 1D) are bearish and choppy, suggesting that the current sell signals may be the start of a larger correction or reversal within a broader downtrend.

Key support is identified at 109.56800, which is the nearest downside target and a critical level to watch. If price breaks below this support, the bearish case is reinforced and could lead to a continuation toward lower levels. Conversely, if the support holds, the bullish lower-timeframe trends could reassert themselves, invalidating the sell signals. The combination of multiple indicator exits and candlestick reversal patterns at the same time adds weight to the bearish signal, but the conflicting lower-timeframe bullish trends warrant caution. Traders should monitor price action around the support level and the 30-minute trend score for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of eight bearish signals across momentum, trend, and candlestick groups.
▼ Higher timeframe bearish trends (4H to 1D) provide a macro backdrop supportive of downside.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price was overextended and is now reverting.
▼ Tweezers Top and Northern Doji indicate a potential reversal at a local high.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15M and 30M) remain bullish, which could override the bearish signal if momentum persists.
▲ The 1H and 2H trends are still forming bullish, suggesting the pullback may be temporary.
▲ If price holds above 109.56800 support, the sell signal could be invalidated and price may resume its upward move.
▲ The higher timeframe bearish trends are choppy/sideways, indicating weak conviction that could lead to false breakouts.