AUD/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED

2026-11-04 13:00 UTC 14 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

0.70178

Target

0.70431 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69541 −0.91 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 14 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout, DEMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +56% Intraday

▲ Bullish 97 % (51.87) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.48)

model score 11.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 15 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KELTNER UPPER Upper Breakout	indicator	2.76
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.34
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.95
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.73
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.06
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High	indicator	0.90
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.88
▲	SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Up	indicator3	0.00

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on 1H with 96% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple indicators align, including BOP, STOCHF, EMA/DEMA/MAMA retreats, and Keltner breakout.
Trend is bullish across 15m to 2h, but bearish on higher timeframes (8h+).
Watch resistance at 0.70431 and support at 0.69541 for direction.

The AUD/USD 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength. A confluence of indicators—BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, DEMA/EMA/MAMA/MIDPRICE Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Up, and a KELTNER UPPER breakout—points to sustained upward momentum. The bullish alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes (all solid trends) reinforces the signal, while the 4h is also turning bullish. However, higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) remain bearish, suggesting this is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch: immediate resistance at 0.70431 and support at 0.69541. A break above resistance could open further upside, but failure to hold above support would invalidate the bullish setup. The mixed higher timeframe picture warrants caution; traders should monitor for momentum fading or a bearish crossover on lower timeframes.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of 11 bullish signals across indicator, indicator3, and candlestick groups.
▲ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes (all solid bullish).
▲ Momentum indicators (STOCHF, BOP) turning up, supporting continued upside.
▲ Breakout above Keltner upper band indicates strong bullish volatility.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ Resistance at 0.70431 is nearby; a rejection there could trigger a pullback.
▼ If price falls below support at 0.69541, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Momentum may fade if stochastic or BOP turn down, especially with 8h bearish trend.