AUD/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED

2026-11-04 12:00 UTC 14 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.06 %

Entry

0.70178

Target

0.70680 +0.72 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69940 −0.34 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up, MIDPRICE Retreat Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 100 % (37.72) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.38
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.15
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.09
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▲	COPPOCK Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	1.25
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 2H chart with multiple indicators confirming.
Trend is aligned bullish on lower timeframes (15m-2H), but higher timeframes are bearish.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.70680 and support at 0.70144 for direction.
High probability signal (96%) but be aware of the conflicting higher timeframe trend.

The AUD/USD 2H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up indicates improving buying pressure, while the STOCHF KD Cross Up confirms short-term momentum. The retreats of the upper Bollinger Band and multiple moving averages (EMA, KAMA, MA) suggest a pullback within an uptrend, which often precedes continuation. The MAMA Cross Up adds to the bullish alignment. Across timeframes, the trend is solidly bullish from 15m to 2H, with the 4H showing a forming uptrend, supporting the immediate bullish case. However, higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) remain bearish, suggesting this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 0.70680 and support at 0.70144. A break above resistance could open further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple indicators: BOP, STOCHF, and moving average retreats all point to bullish continuation.
▲ Solid bullish trend across 15m, 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes.
▲ MAMA Cross Up adds to the bullish momentum signal.
▲ Pullback to moving averages within an uptrend often leads to continuation.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.70144 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Momentum could fade if price fails to break resistance at 0.70680.
▼ The 8H and 12H trends are bearish, suggesting the current bullish move may be corrective.