AUD/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.70123

Target

0.69940 +0.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70680 −0.79 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 6 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCH KD Cross Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, ZLMA Retreat Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 27 % (3.91) ▼ Bearish 73 % (10.68)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MACD Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.90
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.38
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.34
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.13

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

All seven indicators on the 2H chart align bearish, suggesting a high-probability sell setup.
The market is likely entering a cycle phase, which supports a pullback from overbought conditions.
Watch the 0.70094 support: a break below would confirm the bearish move.
Be cautious of lower timeframe bullish momentum (15m-4H) that could delay the sell.

The 2H AUD/USD signal stack is firmly bearish, with seven indicators aligning to a sell: the BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, the MACD Zero Cross Up (a bearish crossover) adds momentum confirmation, and the STOCH KD Cross Down flags fading upside momentum. The retreats from the upper Bollinger Band and the HMA and ZLMA retreats all point to a pullback from overbought conditions. The HT TRENDMODE shift from trend to cycle suggests the market is transitioning from a trending phase into a range, which often favors mean reversion and supports the bearish case.

However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed. The 15m through 4H timeframes are all bullish (solid trend on 15m-2H, forming on 4H), which argues for caution. The 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bearish (with 12H choppy/sideways), so the longer-term trend still leans down. This creates a potential conflict: the immediate bullish momentum on lower timeframes could delay or limit the bearish move. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70680 and support at 0.70094. A break below support would confirm the bearish signal, while a sustained push above resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of seven bearish signals on the 2H timeframe.
▼ HT TRENDMODE shift to cycle favors mean reversion from overbought levels.
▼ Longer timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal.
▼ Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band suggests overbought conditions easing.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-4H) are bullish, which could push price higher and delay the bearish move.
▲ The 2H trend is still bullish; the bearish signals may be a pullback within an uptrend, not a reversal.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.70680, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ The 12H timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction that could lead to whipsaws.