AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED

2026-11-04 20:30 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %

Entry

0.70084

Target

0.70312 +0.33 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.69541 −0.77 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 15 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping

▲ Bullish 91 % (32.83) ▼ Bearish 9 % (3.30)

model score 13.5 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 16 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.95
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.90
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.85
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.83
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.73
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	DI CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	DM CROSS Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	1.07

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals are firing on the 30m chart, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
The price is sitting between key support at 0.69541 and resistance at 0.70222.
Higher timeframes are mixed, with 1h/2h bullish but 4h and above bearish, so the signal is counter-trend on the daily.
Watch for a break above resistance to confirm bullish continuation, or a drop below support to invalidate the signal.

The AUD/USD 30-minute signal is a confluence of multiple momentum and trend indicators turning bullish after a period of bearish pressure. The BOP Zero Cross Up suggests buying pressure is gaining, while the STOCH KD Cross Up and MOM Zero Cross Down indicate that downside momentum is waning and a reversal may be underway. The EMA 200 Retreat Up points to the price pulling back toward the 200-period EMA, which could act as dynamic support. Together, these signals suggest that the short-term bearish move may be losing steam, and a bounce toward the nearest resistance at 0.70222 is possible.

However, the higher timeframe trend is mixed, with the 1h and 2h showing bullish formation but the 4h, 8h, and 1d still bearish. This creates a potential conflict, as the 30m bullish signal is against the dominant longer-term downtrend. The price is currently between support at 0.69541 and resistance at 0.70222. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below support would invalidate the signal. Traders should watch for confirmation on higher timeframes and monitor momentum indicators for sustained buying pressure.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCH, MOM, ROC) are turning bullish, suggesting a shift in market sentiment.
▲ The EMA 200 Retreat Up indicates price is pulling back to a potential dynamic support level.
▲ The 1h and 2h timeframes are showing bullish trend formation, aligning with the 30m signal.
▲ The signal has a 69% probability, indicating a moderate-to-high confidence level.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (4h, 8h, 1d) are still bearish, which could overpower the short-term bullish signal.
▼ The 15m and 12h timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction and potential false signals.
▼ If the price breaks below the nearest support at 0.69541, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
▼ The nearest resistance at 0.70222 is nearby, which could limit upside potential if it holds.