AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 19:30 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.10 %

Entry

0.70085

Target

0.69541 +0.78 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70312 −0.32 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.10
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.08
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.98
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▲	Dragonfly Doji	candlestick	0.78
▲	Takuri Line	candlestick	0.77

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart is supported by multiple indicator signals and a candlestick pattern.
The trend is bearish on the 30-minute and most higher timeframes, but the 1-hour and 2-hour are bullish, creating a conflicting picture.
Watch the nearest support at 0.69541; a break below could confirm further downside, while resistance at 0.70222 is the key invalidation zone.
The brief bounce signaled by BBANDS and STOCHF may offer a better entry for sellers if price respects resistance.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, headlined by a BOP Zero Cross Down and an ERI Bull Zero Cross Down, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, MAMA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE). A Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern adds confluence, while the BBANDS Lower Retreat Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up suggest a brief intraday bounce within the broader downtrend. The Fibonacci group signals imply that price is reacting to key retracement levels, reinforcing the bearish bias.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The 30-minute trend is bearish and forming, while the 15-minute is bearish but choppy. Higher timeframes show conflicting signals: the 1-hour and 2-hour are bullish, but the 4-hour, 8-hour, and daily are all bearish. This suggests the immediate downside momentum is strong, but traders should be cautious of a potential pullback if the higher-timeframe bullish trends reassert. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.70222 and support at 0.69541; a break below support could accelerate the downtrend, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals across indicator groups (BOP, ERI, moving averages).
▼ Bearish trend alignment on the 30-minute, 4-hour, 8-hour, and daily timeframes.
▼ Fibonacci signals suggest price is reacting to key retracement levels, adding technical weight to the downside.
▼ Strong signal strength and high probability (78%) indicate robust conviction in the setup.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes are bullish, which could trigger a counter-trend rally.
▲ The 15-minute and 12-hour trends are choppy, suggesting potential whipsaw price action.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.70222 would invalidate the bearish thesis.
▲ The BBANDS Lower Retreat Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up indicate short-term oversold conditions, which may fuel a bounce.