AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 10:30 UTC 17 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.06 %

Entry

0.70112

Target

0.69541 +0.81 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.70312 −0.29 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.71
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.70
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.97
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.90
▲	STC Level Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.83
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.46
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.37
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.36
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.31
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	1.01
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term reversal lower.
Higher timeframes (4h to daily) are bearish, aligning with the sell signal, while lower timeframes are still bullish, indicating a potential pullback.
Key levels: resistance at 0.70213 and support at 0.69541; a break below support would confirm the bearish bias.
The signal is moderate strength with 66% probability, so prudent risk management is advised.

The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, CMO OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down. This confluence indicates that momentum has peaked and is now reversing lower, with the HT SINE Zero Cross Down and HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend adding a cyclical and trend-structure confirmation. The signal is classified as a SELL with 66% probability and moderate strength.

While the shorter timeframes (15m to 2h) are still bullish, the higher timeframes (4h to 1d) are bearish, suggesting that the current sell-off is likely a correction within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 0.70213 and support at 0.69541 define the immediate trading range. A break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and monitor whether the higher-timeframe bearish trend continues to dominate.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple overbought exit signals (CCI, CMO, RSI) and BOP zero cross down.
▼ HT SINE zero cross down and HT TRENDMODE mode to trend confirm cyclical and trend reversal.
▼ Higher timeframe bearish trend (4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) supports the sell direction.
▼ Fibonacci and candlestick pattern groups add additional confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 2h) are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce before the downtrend resumes.
▲ The 12h timeframe is choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear direction on that horizon.
▲ If price reclaims the 0.70213 resistance, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade quickly given the moderate strength of the signal.