AVAX/USDT – 1H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.39 %

Entry

8.7780

Target

9.0600 +3.21 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.2810 −5.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 6,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,802 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.61 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.50 % 23 % at stop avg −2.02 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSX OB Exit, MCGD Retreat Up, CTI OB Exit +4 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

47.1 % ↓ −20.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 97 % (41.73) ▼ Bearish 3 % (1.35)

model score 34.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 21:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSX OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▲	MCGD Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.10
▼	SAR Flip Bearish	indicator	2.06
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.05
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.54
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.40

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum is building on the 1H timeframe with multiple indicator confirmations.
The trend is bullish across medium timeframes (30m to 8h) but bearish on higher timeframes (12h and 1d), so this is a counter-trend move.
Watch resistance at 9.06000 and support at 8.28100; a break above or below will set the next direction.
Overbought exits suggest the rally has room to continue without immediate pullback risk.

The signal stack on AVA/USDT 1H is heavily bullish, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators: BOP Zero Cross Up confirms buying pressure, DX Trend Weak suggests a nascent trend rather than a mature one, STOCHF KD Cross Up and EMA Retreat Up both point to upward momentum, while SAR Flip Bearish and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up add further confirmation. The CTI and RSX OB exits indicate that overbought conditions are unwinding, which could allow for continued upside without immediate exhaustion.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bullish: the 30m through 8h charts are all bullish and trend forming (2/5), while the 12h and 1d are bearish. This suggests the bullish move is a counter-trend rally against the higher-timeframe downtrend. Key levels to watch are resistance at 9.06000 and support at 8.28100. A break above resistance would signal strength, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, EMA, HT PHASOR) all turning bullish.
▲ Trend alignment across 30m to 8h timeframes supports the 1H signal.
▲ Overbought conditions unwinding (CTI and RSX exits) may allow for sustained upside.
▲ High probability score (83%) and strong signal strength indicate robust conviction.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher-timeframe trend (12h and 1d) is bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ The 15m chart is bearish and choppy, suggesting short-term hesitation.
▼ A break below support at 8.28100 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Weak trend strength (DX Trend Weak) implies the move may lack follow-through.