AVAX/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED

2026-11-04 16:00 UTC 11 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.65 %

Entry

8.9340

Target

8.2810 +7.31 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.0600 −1.41 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 11 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 6,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,802 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.61 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.50 % 23 % at stop avg −2.02 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, Spinning Top Bearish +1 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

54.9 % ↑ +19.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Intraday

▲ Bullish 35 % (3.20) ▼ Bearish 65 % (5.99)

model score 65.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 12 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.3 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 32.0 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,218 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 17:02 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.24
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.10
▼	STC OB Entry	indicator	0.83

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals on 1H suggest a potential pullback, but the trend is still bullish on lower timeframes.
Key resistance at 9.06000 and support at 8.28100 define the immediate range.
Higher timeframe (12h, 1D) trends are bearish, adding weight to the sell signal.
The Spinning Top pattern signals indecision; confirmation is needed before committing.

The 1H SELL signal on AVA/XUSDT is driven by a cluster of bearish momentum and candlestick signals: BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure is overtaking buying pressure, CMO OB Exit and STC OB Entry both suggest the asset is exiting overbought conditions, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down confirms fading short-term momentum, and a Spinning Top Bearish pattern reflects indecision that often precedes a reversal. These signals together point to a near-term pullback within a broader bullish trend across lower timeframes (15m to 1H), but the higher timeframes (12h and 1D) are bearish, creating a mixed picture.

Despite the bearish signals, the prevailing trend on the 1H and lower timeframes remains bullish, so the sell signal should be viewed as a counter-trend opportunity. The nearest resistance at 9.06000 is a key barrier; if price fails to break above it, the downside could extend toward support at 8.28100. However, the bullish alignment on 15m/30m/1H suggests that any decline may be shallow unless the 1H trend turns bearish. Watch for a break below the recent higher lows to confirm the reversal.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators (BOP, CMO, STOCHRSI, STC) align to signal fading momentum.
▼ Higher timeframe (12h, 1D) trends are bearish, supporting the downside.
▼ Resistance at 9.06000 is a clear ceiling; failure to break it could trigger selling.
▼ The Spinning Top pattern at a potential reversal zone adds confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1H trend is still bullish; the sell signal is counter-trend and may fail.
▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m) show solid bullish trends, which could absorb the pullback.
▲ If price breaks above 9.06000, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
▲ Momentum signals are moderate, not strong, so the move may lack follow-through.