AVAX/USDT – 2H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %

Entry

8.7590

Target

9.0600 +3.44 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.2770 −5.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 14

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 3,623 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,623 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.07 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.08 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.09 % 21 % at stop avg −2.85 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

64.5 % ↑ +14.9 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +13% Intraday

▲ Bullish 89 % (40.13) ▼ Bearish 11 % (4.94)

model score 89.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 22:03 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.66
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	2.03
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.67
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.64
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.52

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 2H are led by a Trendline Break Up and BOP Zero Cross Up, indicating buying pressure.
The 2H trend is bullish but only 'trend forming' (2/5), so the move is early and needs confirmation.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 9.06000 and support at 8.27700; a break below support invalidates the setup.
Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend.

The 2H chart for AVA/XUSDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, led by a Trendline Break Up and a BOP Zero Cross Up, which together suggest buying pressure is building. The HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a cyclical tailwind, while the SMI Signal Cross Down and HMA Direction Down appear as contrarian signals, likely flagging a short-term pullback within a larger bullish move. This mixed but net-positive signal set points to an upward bias on the 2H timeframe, with the nearest resistance at 9.06000 as the immediate upside target and support at 8.27700 as the key level to hold.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish from 30m up to 8h, with the 2H itself in a 'trend forming' state (2/5 strength), indicating early but consistent momentum. However, the higher timeframes (12h and 1d) remain bearish, which caps the reliability of the move and suggests this is a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The 15m is bearish and choppy, adding near-term noise. For the buy signal to play out, price must hold above 8.27700 and push through 9.06000; a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup and likely see the higher timeframe trend reassert itself.

Catalysts

▲ Trendline Break Up on 2H signals a bullish breakout from a descending trendline, a classic reversal pattern.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up shows balance of power turning positive, confirming increasing buying pressure.
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up adds a cyclical bullish phase, aligning with the shorter-term trend.
▲ Multiple timeframes from 30m to 8h are bullish, providing a supportive backdrop for the 2H signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (12h, 1d) are bearish, which could cap upside and lead to a reversal.
▼ The 15m is bearish and choppy, suggesting near-term volatility that could trigger false breakouts.
▼ The SMI Signal Cross Down and HMA Direction Down indicate short-term momentum is fading, which could delay the move.
▼ Watch the invalidation level at 8.27700; a break below would negate the bullish signal and likely lead to further downside.