AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 16:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +1.92 %

Entry

8.9420

Target

8.2810 +7.39 %

closes in profit

Stop

9.0600 −1.32 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,400 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 13,400 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZLMA Break Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +1 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.3 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 32.0 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,218 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 16:32 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ZLMA Break Down	indicator	2.39
▲	SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.34
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.59
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.55
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.22
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signal on 30m, but higher timeframes are mostly bullish, so treat as a potential pullback.
Watch the 8.28100 support; a break below confirms the downside, while holding above may invalidate.
Overbought conditions (ZSCORE Extreme High) and candlestick patterns suggest exhaustion.
Signal strength is weak, so expect limited downside unless momentum builds.

The AVA/USDT 30-minute chart has triggered a SELL signal despite a predominantly bullish short-term trend, creating a mixed technical picture. The signal combines several indicators: a STOCH KD Cross Down, an HMA Retreat Down, a ZLMA Break Down, and a ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, all pointing to a potential pullback from overbought conditions. The Long Legged Doji and Matching Low candlestick patterns suggest indecision and possible exhaustion at higher prices. However, the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are still bullish, with the 30m trend forming (2/5), indicating that the bearish signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger uptrend.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 9.06000 and support at 8.28100. A break below the support would confirm the bearish signal, while holding above it could invalidate the downside. The higher timeframes (12h and 1d) are bearish, which adds weight to the sell signal, but the overall trend alignment is mixed. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation and be cautious given the weak signal strength (59% probability, weak strength).

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators align bearishly: STOCH KD Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, ZLMA Break Down.
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicates price stretched above mean, ripe for a reversion.
▼ Candlestick patterns (Long Legged Doji, Matching Low) signal potential reversal.
▼ Higher timeframes (12h, 1d) are bearish, supporting the sell bias.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (15m-1h) are bullish, which could override the bearish signal.
▲ Nearest support at 8.28100 is far; price may not reach it if the pullback is shallow.
▲ Weak signal strength (59%) and weak trend scores reduce conviction.
▲ A break above resistance at 9.06000 would invalidate the bearish setup.