AVAX/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC 4 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.21 %

Entry

8.7380

Target

9.0600 +3.69 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.2770 −5.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 30 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Up, Trendline Break Up, Symmetrical Triangle +6 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

60.1 % ↓ −0.7 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +42% Swing

▲ Bullish 75 % (17.95) ▼ Bearish 25 % (5.99)

model score 75.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (5 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.65
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.30
▲	Symmetrical Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	2.19
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.99
▲	EMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.97
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.30
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.23
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.04
▲	MAMA Cross Up	indicator	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence from multiple signal groups on the 4H chart.
The breakout targets the nearest resistance at 9.06000, with support at 8.27700 as the invalidation level.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move with limited upside.
Momentum indicators like BOP and MAMA support the bullish case, but watch for a pullback to support before continuation.

The AVA/USDT 4H signal is a strong bullish confluence, with a Trendline Break Up and Symmetrical Triangle breakout leading the charge. The BOP Zero Cross Up confirms buying pressure, while CCI OB Exit and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down suggest a healthy pullback within an uptrend—not a reversal. The EMA 50 Retreat Up and MAMA Cross Up add further bullish momentum, and the additional signals reinforce the breakout's validity.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bullish from 30m up to 8H, though the 15m and 4H are choppy, and the 12H and 1D remain bearish. This mixed higher-timeframe picture means the move is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 9.06000 is a key hurdle; a break above it would strengthen the bullish case, while the nearest support at 8.27700 is the critical level to hold—losing it would invalidate the breakout.

Catalysts

▲ Trendline Break Up and Symmetrical Triangle breakout provide strong chart-pattern confluence.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up confirms improving buying pressure.
▲ EMA 50 Retreat Up and MAMA Cross Up align with the bullish trend.
▲ Multiple timeframes (30m to 8H) are bullish, supporting the 4H signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal.
▼ The 4H and 15M are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of strong trend momentum.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 8.27700 would invalidate the bullish breakout.
▼ The nearest resistance at 9.06000 is a major barrier; failure to break could trigger a pullback.