BNB/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
8 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.22 %
Entry
713.81
Target
680.00 +4.74 %
closes in profit
Stop
762.20 −6.78 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 12
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 20 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
55.2 % ↑ +16.2 vs previous candle
MODERATE Swing
▲ Bullish 33 % (3.70) ▼ Bearish 67 % (7.62)
model score 67.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.4 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,989 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
BNB/USDT  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for BNB/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
  • TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 4h 67%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 2.22
▲ VORTEX Cross Up indicator 1.57
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.46
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.45
▲ MAMA Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ RSX Midline Cross Up indicator 1.37
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.34
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.27
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.01
▼ BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicator 0.92
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.91

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: ten indicators, including BOP, STOCHRSI, and Ichimoku, all point down.
  • Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish, supporting the sell signal.
  • Key levels: resistance at 717.75, support at 680.00.
  • Weak signal strength (59% probability) suggests caution; watch for confirmation.
The BNB/USDT 4H signal stack is overwhelmingly bearish, with ten indicators aligning to the downside. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, while the STOCHRSI KD Cross Down and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down indicate fading momentum and a pullback from the upper band. The MAMA Cross Up and CTI OB Entry suggest a potential short-term bounce, but the ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up and RSX Midline Cross Up point to bearish trend strength. The ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish reinforces the bearish outlook, and the additional signals in the indicator and candlestick groups add confluence.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: the 15m to 4H timeframes are bullish but with weakening trend scores (2/5 to 3/5), while the 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes are bearish with solid trend scores (3/5). This suggests the bearish signal is part of a larger downtrend, and the current bullish momentum on lower timeframes may be a corrective move. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 717.75 and support at 680.00. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move above resistance would invalidate the signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Bearish alignment across multiple indicators (BOP, STOCHRSI, BBANDS, ERI, RSX, Ichimoku).
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H, 1D) are bearish with solid trend scores.
  • ▼ Price is near resistance at 717.75, providing a potential entry for shorts.
  • ▼ Ichimoku Cloud Bearish adds confluence to the bearish outlook.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m to 4H) are bullish, which could counteract the bearish signal.
  • ▲ The signal strength is weak (59%), so the move may lack momentum.
  • ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 717.75, the bearish thesis is invalidated.
  • ▲ The MAMA Cross Up and CTI OB Entry suggest possible short-term bounce, which could delay the decline.
Symbol BNB/USDT
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 67%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-11-04 16:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 717.75000 2026-11-01
R2 762.20000 2026-10-28
R3 809.99000 2026-10-05
S1 680.00000 2026-10-29

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