ETH/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED
10 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.24 %
Entry
2,424.85
Target
2,226.44 +8.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,459.83 −1.44 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 11 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 6,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,802 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +1.61 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.50 % 23 % at stop avg −2.02 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, Last Engulfing Top +3 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.2 % ↑ +1.1 vs previous candle
STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 21 % (1.94) ▼ Bearish 79 % (7.24)
model score 78.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 11 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.3 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 32.0 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,218 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
ETH/USDT  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
  • TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 11 × 1h 79%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ULTOSC OB Exit indicator 2.19
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.40
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
▼ Last Engulfing Top candlestick 1.14
▼ Last Engulfing Bottom candlestick 1.12
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.10
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.91

Trend Context

15M
UPVery strong trend
30M
UPVery strong trend
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish signals on the 1H chart suggest a short-term sell-off or pullback.
  • The 1H sell signal conflicts with bullish trends on 15m-2h, indicating a potential correction within a larger uptrend.
  • Key support at 2226.44 is the immediate level to watch; a break below could accelerate selling.
  • The 12h and 1d timeframes are bearish, adding weight to the bearish case on higher timeframes.
The 1H chart for ETH/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit, HMA Retreat Down, and a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern, with additional confirmation from Last Engulfing Bottom and Top signals. This suggests a strong short-term bearish momentum shift, despite the prevailing bullish trend on lower timeframes. The confluence of indicator and candlestick signals points to a potential pullback or reversal, with the nearest support at 2226.44 acting as a key level to watch.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m to 2h timeframes remain bullish, with very strong trend scores on the 15m and 30m, while the 4h is choppy and the 12h and 1d are bearish. This misalignment implies that the 1H sell signal may be an early sign of a larger correction, but the bullish lower timeframes could limit downside momentum. The immediate focus is on whether price can hold above the support at 2226.44; a break below could open the door to further declines, while a bounce would validate the bullish trend on the lower timeframes.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple indicator signals (BOP, STOCHF, ULTOSC, HMA) and a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern.
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend on higher timeframes (12h and 1d) supports the sell signal.
  • ▼ The signal probability is 75% with strong strength, indicating high confidence in the short-term move.
  • ▼ The presence of both Last Engulfing Bottom and Top signals suggests a decisive shift in momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m-2h) are strongly bullish, which could overpower the 1H bearish signal and lead to a quick rebound.
  • ▲ The 4h timeframe is choppy/sideways, suggesting a lack of clear direction that might invalidate the sell signal.
  • ▲ If the support at 2226.44 holds, the bearish move could be limited and reverse, invalidating the signal.
  • ▲ The 1H signal may be a short-term pullback within a larger bullish trend, so aggressive selling could be risky.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 79%
Strength STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 17:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 2,226.44000 2026-11-04
S2 2,208.40000 2026-10-30
S3 2,174.08000 2026-10-30

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