ETH/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 16:00 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.85 %

Entry

2,406.47

Target

2,526.62 +4.99 %

closes in profit

Stop

2,174.08 −9.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: RSI OB Exit, KDJ OB Exit, EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross +1 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −21.3 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 69 % (10.63) ▼ Bearish 31 % (4.81)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.50
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.47
▲	EMA CROSS 20 50 Golden Cross	indicator	2.42
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.24
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.16
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.09
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPVery strong trend

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

4H signal is bullish with moderate strength, driven by momentum oscillators and a Golden Cross.
Shorter timeframes (15m-8H) are all bullish, but 12H and 1D remain bearish, creating a mixed backdrop.
Key levels: resistance at 2526.62, support at 2174.08—watch for a break of either.
The signal suggests a pullback within an uptrend, not a fresh breakout, so patience for confirmation is advised.

The 4H ETH/USDT signal is a composite BUY, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down suggest selling pressure is exhausting, while RSI OB Exit and STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicate the market has pulled back from overbought conditions, creating room for renewed upside. The Golden Cross on the 20/50 EMA and the SMA 200 Retreat Down confirm a bullish structure on the 4H, with the HT SINE Zero Cross Up adding a cyclical tailwind. The KDJ OB Exit further supports the bullish case, aligning with the candlestick group.

Across timeframes, the bias is bullish from 15m up to 8H, with the strongest conviction in the 30m (very strong trend) and solid trends on 15m and 1H. However, the higher timeframes (12H and 1D) are bearish, which tempers the overall signal and explains the moderate strength. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2526.62 and support at 2174.08. A sustained move above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a break below support would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Golden Cross on 20/50 EMA aligns with bullish momentum across multiple timeframes.
▲ Oscillators (RSI, STOCHRSI, KDJ) exiting overbought conditions often precede continuation moves.
▲ HT SINE Zero Cross Up adds a cyclical bullish component.
▲ Bullish trends on 15m, 30m, and 1H provide near-term support for the 4H signal.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 2174.08 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The signal strength is only moderate, and the trend scores on 2H-8H are still forming, indicating less conviction.
▼ Resistance at 2526.62 is a nearby barrier; failure to break it could lead to consolidation or a pullback.