EUR/AUD – 12H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 10:00 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.19 %

Entry

1.60262

Target

1.57746 +1.57 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.62660 −1.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 224 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 224 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, ZLMA Retreat Down, BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – first candle

MODERATE ⚡ Confluence +1% Position

▲ Bullish 27 % (6.00) ▼ Bearish 73 % (16.56)

model score 73.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
07:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.56
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.12
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.06
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.05
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.91
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.83
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.74
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.29
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.09
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.96
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 12H chart suggests downward momentum from overbought levels.
Key support at 1.57746 is the primary downside target; resistance at 1.62660 is the invalidation zone.
Higher timeframes (4H-1D) remain bullish, so this may be a pullback rather than a full reversal.
Watch for price action at support/resistance to confirm or negate the signal.

The EUR/AUD 12H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI and Stochastics exiting overbought territory, a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, and a bearish cross in the HT Phasor. This is reinforced by the HMA turning down and Ichimoku TK cross, suggesting momentum is shifting lower from an overbought condition. The confluence of these indicators points to a potential pullback or reversal, with the nearest support at 1.57746 as the initial downside target.

However, the broader trend context is mixed. While the 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes are bearish, the 4H, 8H, and 12H trends remain bullish, albeit choppy and forming. This divergence suggests the bearish signal may be a corrective move within a larger uptrend rather than a full reversal. The nearest resistance at 1.62660 is a key level to watch; a break back above that would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should monitor the price action around support and resistance to gauge the strength of the move.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH, BBANDS, HT PHASOR, HMA, ICHIMOKU) align bearishly, increasing signal reliability.
▼ Overbought conditions on the 12H chart provide room for a downside correction.
▼ Shorter timeframes (30m, 1H) are already bearish, supporting the immediate downside move.
▼ The signal probability of 73% adds confidence to the bearish outlook.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H-1D) are bullish, which could limit the downside or lead to a reversal.
▲ The 1H and 2H trends are choppy/sideways, suggesting weak momentum and potential false signals.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 1.62660 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The overall trend scores are low (1/5) on several timeframes, indicating a lack of strong trend conviction.