EUR/AUD – 8H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
14 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.09 %
Entry
1.60447
Target
1.57746 +1.68 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.62660 −1.38 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 316 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.64 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish +7 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle
VERY STRONG Swing
▲ Bullish 7 % (1.24) ▼ Bearish 93 % (15.43)
model score 92.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/AUD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/AUD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
  • TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
  • TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.14
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.13
▼ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish indicator 2.02
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.87
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.74
▼ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.72
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.69
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.68
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.30
▲ ADX Trend Strong indicator 1.16
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.99

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 8H with multiple confirmations from trend, momentum, and Ichimoku.
  • Higher timeframes are bullish but weak, so the sell is counter-trend on those frames.
  • Key levels: resistance at 1.62660, support at 1.57746.
  • Watch for a break below support to confirm the bearish move.
The EUR/AUD 8H signal has fired a dense cluster of bearish indicators, including ADX Trend Strong, BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, KDJ Cross Down, and an Ichimoku Cloud Bearish. This confluence points to robust selling pressure on the 8H timeframe, with the ADX confirming a strong trend and multiple oscillators exiting overbought conditions. The candlestick group adds weight, suggesting the market is turning lower after an extended move.

However, the higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bullish, albeit with weak trend scores (1-2/5), indicating the broader trend is still upward but losing momentum. The 1H is bearish but choppy, and the 15M/30M are bearish, showing short-term alignment with the 8H signal. The nearest resistance at 1.62660 and support at 1.57746 are key levels to watch; a break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ High confluence of bearish indicators on 8H (ADX, BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, EMA/SMA 200, KDJ, Ichimoku).
  • ▼ Short-term timeframes (15M, 30M) are bearish, aligning with the 8H signal.
  • ▼ Strong trend score (ADX) and very strong signal strength (85%).
  • ▼ Candlestick patterns add confirmation to the bearish bias.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (2H-1D) are bullish, which could limit downside or cause a reversal.
  • ▲ The 1H is choppy, indicating potential whipsaw.
  • ▲ If price breaks above resistance at 1.62660, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the 8H trend loses strength (ADX declining).
Symbol EUR/AUD
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.62660 2026-10-15
R2 1.63352 2026-09-30
R3 1.64446 2026-08-20
S1 1.57746 2026-10-28

Tags

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