EUR/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
7 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.20 %
Entry
1.56797
Target
1.55911 +0.57 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.57191 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: DEMA Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +9% Intraday
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (32.83)
model score 6.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 8 candles
EUR/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
  • TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
  • TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 1h 7%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.00
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.89
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.87
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.85
▼ AO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
▲ Northern Doji candlestick 1.03

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish signal on 1H with multiple indicator retreats pointing down.
  • Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are in solid downtrends, supporting the sell bias.
  • Key support at 1.55911 is the level to watch for a breakdown; resistance at 1.57191 is the invalidation zone.
  • Mixed intermediate timeframes (1H, 2H bullish) add caution, so wait for confirmation.
The 1H EUR/CAD signal is strongly bearish, with a 95% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of retreat signals from multiple indicators including BOP Zero Cross Down, DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE. These signals indicate a broad-based downward momentum across different calculation methods, suggesting a coordinated bearish push. The trend across timeframes shows a mixed picture, but the dominant bias is bearish, especially on the 12H and 1D timeframes which exhibit solid trends. The immediate 1H timeframe is still bullish but forming a trend, which could mean the bearish signals are leading a potential reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.57191 and support at 1.55911; a break below support would confirm the bearish move, while a rally above resistance would invalidate the signal.

Given the confluence of retreat signals and the bearish alignment on higher timeframes, the path of least resistance appears to be downward in the short term. However, the mixed signals on intermediate timeframes (1H and 2H bullish) introduce some uncertainty, and the choppy conditions on 15m and 4h suggest that the move may not be smooth. Traders should monitor the price action around the support level for a decisive break, and be cautious of a potential bounce if the 1H bullish trend gains strength.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MA, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) align bearish, indicating strong selling pressure.
  • ▼ Higher timeframe trends (12H, 1D) are solidly bearish, adding weight to the sell signal.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down confirms bearish momentum shift.
  • ▼ Strong signal probability (95%) and very strong strength suggest high conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ 1H and 2H timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or reversal.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 15m and 4h may cause false breakouts or whipsaws.
  • ▲ A break above resistance at 1.57191 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ If the 1H bullish trend strengthens, it could override the bearish signals.
Symbol EUR/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 7%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-04 20:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.57191 2026-11-04
R2 1.57353 2026-10-26
R3 1.58064 2026-10-21
S1 1.55911 2026-11-03
S2 1.55521 2026-10-30

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