EUR/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 13 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.22 %

Entry

178.307

Target

177.150 +0.65 %

closes in profit

Stop

180.001 −0.95 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 13 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, AO Saucer Bearish +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 26 % (8.90) ▼ Bearish 74 % (24.81)

model score 15.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 14 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 552 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
07:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 15:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.32
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.21
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.47
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.38
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.32
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.25
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	1.07

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Eight bearish signals on the 1H chart point to a short-term pullback.
Broader trends are mostly bullish, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
Watch the 177.15000 support; a break below could extend the decline.
Signal strength is weak, so expect limited downside unless momentum builds.

The 1H EUR/JPY signal stack is uniformly bearish, with eight distinct confirmations from both momentum oscillators and price action. The BOP Zero Cross Down indicates selling pressure has overtaken buying pressure, while the CCI and Stochastic OB Exits show that the prior overbought conditions are unwinding. The AO Saucer Bearish adds a momentum shift, and the HMA and ZLMA Retreat Downs confirm that price is pulling back from extended levels. The Shooting Star candlestick on the 1H chart reinforces the bearish reversal intent. However, the signal's probability is only 62% with weak strength, and the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, creating a conflict that warrants caution.

The bearish signals are firing against a backdrop of bullish trends on most timeframes, from 15 minutes up to 12 hours. The 1D trend is bearish, which offers some alignment, but the higher timeframes (4H and above) show only forming or choppy trends, indicating a lack of strong downward momentum. The nearest support at 177.15000 is a key level to watch; a break below it could open the door for further downside, while a failure to break could see the pair resume its bullish bias. The confluence of multiple indicators on the 1H chart gives the signal some weight, but the weak strength and conflicting higher-timeframe trends suggest this may be a counter-trend move rather than a new trend.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple oscillator exits from overbought levels (CCI, Stochastic) confirm momentum shift.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down shows selling pressure overtaking buying pressure.
▼ Shooting Star candlestick adds a classic reversal pattern at a potential local top.
▼ The daily trend is bearish, providing some longer-term alignment.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m to 12h) are bullish, which could stall or reverse the pullback.
▲ Weak signal strength (62%) suggests the bearish move may lack conviction.
▲ If price holds above 177.15000 support, the bearish setup could fail.
▲ A break back above the recent highs would invalidate the bearish signals.