EUR/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.05 %

Entry

178.000

Target

175.073 +1.64 %

closes in profit

Stop

180.191 −1.23 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 6 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit +8 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +5.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (8.05)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
07:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CMO OB Exit	indicator	2.56
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.33
▲	SMA CROSS 50 200 Golden Cross	indicator	2.28
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.00
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	1.98
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.86
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.08
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.07
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.84

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple overbought and momentum indicators are aligning to signal a short-term bearish move on the 2H chart.
The broader trend is bullish across most timeframes, so this sell signal likely represents a pullback within an uptrend.
Key support to watch is at 175.07300; a break below could confirm further downside, while a hold may lead to a bounce.
The signal has weak strength and only 63% probability, so position sizing should be conservative.

The EUR/JPY 2H signal is a confluence of multiple oscillator and volatility indicators turning bearish, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CMO OB Exit, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down. These signals collectively suggest that the recent upward momentum has stalled and that price is retreating from overbought conditions. The presence of a Golden Cross (SMA 50 crossing above SMA 200) adds a longer-term bullish backdrop, but the immediate 2H bearish signal indicates a potential pullback within that broader uptrend. The trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, with the 30m and 1h showing solid or forming bullish trends, while the 15m and 1d are bearish. This mixed picture suggests that the sell signal is likely a corrective move rather than a major reversal, and traders should watch for the nearest support at 175.07300 as a key downside target or invalidation point. The overall probability is 63% with weak strength, so the signal should be treated with caution, especially given the conflicting higher timeframe trends.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple oscillator exits (RSI, CMO, WILLR) and momentum crossovers (STOCH, BOP) strengthens the bearish case.
▼ The BBANDS upper band retreat indicates price is pulling back from an overextended level, supporting a mean-reversion move.
▼ The 15m and 1d timeframes are already bearish, adding short-term and longer-term alignment with the sell signal.
▼ The Golden Cross provides a bullish backdrop, but the immediate overbought conditions suggest a natural correction is likely.

Risk Factors

▲ The higher timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are bullish, which could limit the downside and lead to a quick reversal.
▲ The Golden Cross on the 2H chart is a strong bullish signal that may override the short-term bearish momentum.
▲ If price holds above 175.07300 and forms a higher low, the sell signal could be invalidated and the uptrend could resume.
▲ Weak signal strength and only 63% probability indicate that the move may lack conviction and could stall or reverse suddenly.