EUR/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-11-04 10:00 UTC 14 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.28 %

Entry

178.351

Target

179.313 +0.54 %

closes in profit

Stop

175.073 −1.84 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 575 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 575 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, EMA 200 Break Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +1.7 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 100 % (18.01) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 4 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
07:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.57
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.52
▲	EMA 200 Break Up	indicator	2.36
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.21
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.14
▲	SMA 200 Break Up	indicator	1.96
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.85
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.76
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.23
▼	Advance Block	candlestick	1.10
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Overwhelming bullish signal on 4H with 96% probability and very strong strength.
Multiple trend and momentum indicators align, including STOCH KD Cross Up and EMA/SMA 200 Break Ups.
Immediate upside target is resistance at 179.31300; key support at 175.07300.
Bullish across most timeframes, but 1D is bearish—watch for higher timeframe conflict.

The EUR/JPY 4H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The STOCH KD Cross Up and DEMA Retreat Up, alongside EMA and SMA 200 Break Ups, point to a fresh upward impulse, while the MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE Retreat Ups confirm the bullish alignment. This confluence across multiple indicator families suggests a robust shift in momentum that could carry the pair higher.
Across timeframes, the bullish bias is consistent, with 15m and 30m showing solid trends and 1h, 2h, 8h, and 12h all in forming bullish phases. The 4H itself is choppy, but the signal is designed to capture the start of a new trend. The nearest resistance at 179.31300 is the immediate upside target, while support at 175.07300 serves as the critical floor. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish case, whereas a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of momentum and trend indicators across multiple categories.
▲ Consistent bullish trends on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) supporting the move.
▲ Price holding above support at 175.07300, with resistance nearby as a breakout level.
▲ Very strong signal strength (96%) indicating high conviction in the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ 1D timeframe is bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a reversal.
▼ 4H is choppy/sideways, so the new trend may lack immediate follow-through.
▼ Failure to break resistance at 179.31300 could lead to consolidation or pullback.
▼ A close below support at 175.07300 would invalidate the bullish signal.