EUR/JPY – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 10 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %

Entry

177.839

Target

175.073 +1.56 %

closes in profit

Stop

178.338 −0.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 575 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 575 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat +9 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +7% Swing

▲ Bullish 24 % (7.69) ▼ Bearish 76 % (24.80)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
07:00TomorrowEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.68
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.32
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.19
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	2.05
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	2.03
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.95
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.86
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.81
▲	TRIX Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.69
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.30
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.97
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	0.79

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals fired on the 4H chart, including RSI and Williams %R exiting overbought, and a bearish STOCH cross.
Short-term timeframes (15m-1h) are bearish, but higher timeframes (2H-12H) remain bullish, creating a mixed trend picture.
Key levels: resistance at 177.968 and support at 175.073; a break below support would confirm the bearish move.
The 4H trend is choppy and sideways, so confirmation is needed before committing to a sustained sell.

The 4H EUR/JPY chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI exiting overbought, and a STOCH KD Cross Down, alongside a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band. These signals collectively point to fading bullish momentum and the start of a corrective or reversal move. However, the trend alignment is mixed: while the 15m to 1h timeframes are bearish, the 2H to 12H timeframes remain bullish, indicating that the bearish pressure is currently a shorter-term pullback within a larger uptrend. The 4H itself is choppy and sideways, suggesting indecision.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 177.968 and support at 175.073. A sustained break below support would confirm the bearish move and open the path lower, while a bounce off support could signal a resumption of the broader uptrend. The confluence of multiple oscillators turning down from overbought conditions adds weight to the bearish case, but the conflicting higher timeframe trends warrant caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and the 4H trend score for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple oscillator signals (BOP, RSI, STOCH, WILLR) all turning bearish from overbought conditions.
▼ Price retreating from the upper Bollinger Band, indicating rejection at elevated levels.
▼ Strong bearish trend on the 15m timeframe (3/5) providing short-term momentum alignment.
▼ The signal probability is high at 76% with strong strength, suggesting robust signal confluence.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (2H-12H) are still bullish, which could absorb the bearish pressure and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 4H trend is choppy and sideways, so the bearish move may lack follow-through.
▲ If price holds above support at 175.073 and reverses, the sell signal could be invalidated.
▲ A break above resistance at 177.968 would negate the bearish setup and signal a continuation of the uptrend.