EUR/USD – 1H – BUY

BUY 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 19:00 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.29 %

Entry

1.12233

Target

1.12560 +0.29 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11750 −0.43 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 50 Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

Loading…

Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.68
▲	SMA 50 Retreat Up	indicator	1.66
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.66
▲	STOCH OS Exit	indicator	1.59
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.52
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.41
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.41
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.22
▼	HT SINE Cross Down	indicator	1.21
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals on the 1H suggest a short-term bounce, but the higher timeframe (1D) is bearish, so treat as counter-trend.
Watch the 1.12371 resistance; a close above it would strengthen the bullish case.
The 1.11750 support is the key invalidation level; losing it negates the signal.
The signal is moderate strength, so position sizing should reflect the lower conviction.

The EUR/USD 1H signal fires a cluster of bullish momentum and cycle indicators, including a BOP zero cross up, stochastic oversold exit with a KD cross up, and moving average retreats up on the EMA 200 and SMA 50. The additional HT sine cross down and HT trendmode shift to cycle suggest a short-term mean-reversion bounce within a broader corrective phase. The signal aligns with the 2H and 4H timeframes, which are bullish, but conflicts with the 1H and 1D bearish trends, indicating the bounce may be counter-trend on the higher daily scale.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12371 and support at 1.11750. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and open the path for further upside, while a loss of support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the bearish bias. The moderate strength and 70% probability suggest a tradable setup but not a high-conviction reversal. Traders should monitor the 1H trend for a shift from bearish to bullish to confirm the signal's sustainability.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (BOP, stochastic, moving average retreats) on the 1H.
▲ Uptrend on the 2H and 4H timeframes supports the bounce.
▲ Stochastic oversold exit and KD cross up indicate buying pressure after a dip.
▲ HT sine cross down and trendmode to cycle suggest a short-term cycle bottom.

Risk Factors

▼ The 1H and 1D trends are bearish, which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal.
▼ The 8H trend is choppy/sideways, adding uncertainty.
▼ If price fails to break above 1.12371, the bounce may fade.
▼ A drop below 1.11750 would invalidate the signal and likely resume the downtrend.