EUR/USD – 2H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-04 10:00 UTC 16 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.08 %

Entry

1.12537

Target

1.11750 +0.70 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.13960 −1.26 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat +4 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 17 % (3.23) ▼ Bearish 83 % (15.62)

model score 3.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 552 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	1.78
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.38
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.23
▼	Tweezers Top	candlestick	1.09
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.07
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	1.00

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bearish signal cluster on the 2H chart suggests a high-probability sell opportunity.
The daily trend is bearish, aligning with the 2H signals, while lower timeframes are still bullish—watch for a shift.
Key resistance at 1.12560 and support at 1.11750 are the critical levels to monitor.
The confluence of momentum, volatility, and candlestick patterns strengthens the bearish case.

The EUR/USD 2H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI exiting overbought territory, a STOCHF KD Cross Down, an HMA Retreat Down, and a retreat from the upper ACCBANDS band. These are reinforced by a series of bearish candlestick patterns—Bearish Harami, Spinning Top Bearish, and Tweezers Top—indicating that selling pressure is building at the upper end of the range. The confluence of momentum, volatility, and candlestick signals points to a likely pullback or reversal from the recent highs.

While the shorter timeframes (15m to 4h) are still bullish, the 1D timeframe shows a solid bearish trend, suggesting that the current bullish move may be a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend. The 2H signal aligns with the daily bearish bias, and the cluster of signals at a key resistance level (1.12560) increases the probability of a downward move. The nearest support at 1.11750 is the first target, and a break below that level would confirm further downside. However, the bullish alignment on lower timeframes could delay the move, so traders should watch for a clear break of the 2H support or a failure to hold below the resistance.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicator signals (BOP, RSI, STOCHF, HMA, ACCBANDS) all point to bearish momentum.
▼ Bearish candlestick patterns (Bearish Harami, Spinning Top, Tweezers Top) confirm selling pressure.
▼ The 1D timeframe is bearish, providing a higher-timeframe alignment for the sell signal.
▼ The signal cluster occurs near a resistance level, increasing the likelihood of a reversal.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m-4h) are still bullish, which could lead to a continuation higher before the reversal.
▲ If price breaks above the resistance at 1.12560, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The 2H trend itself is still bullish, so the sell signal may be premature without a confirmed reversal.
▲ Momentum could fade if the RSI and stochastic exit oversold quickly, leading to a sideways move.