EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 11× UPDATED CLOSED
9 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.34 %
Entry
1.12217
Target
1.12731 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11839 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: AO Saucer Bullish, EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 704 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
  • TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
  • TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 96%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.73
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.68
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.63
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.62
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.59
▲ ADXR Trend Strong indicator 1.49
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.34
▲ Bullish Harami candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart, but it is counter-trend against the daily downtrend.
  • Intermediate timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are bullish, providing some support for the bounce.
  • Watch the 1.12731 resistance and 1.11839 support as key decision levels.
  • The KST Zero Cross Down and Bullish Harami add weight, but the daily bearish trend is a major headwind.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern, an ADXR reading indicating a strong trend, and multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, SMA 200) suggesting that price has pulled back to key dynamic support and is now bouncing. The BOP Zero Cross Up and AO Saucer Bullish add momentum confirmation, while the KST Zero Cross Down signals a potential shift in medium-term momentum. Together, these signals point to a short-term bullish reversal within a broader context that is mixed across timeframes.

Trend alignment is not uniform. The 2-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, and 12-hour timeframes are bullish, with the 2-hour showing a solid trend, which supports the bullish case. However, the 15-minute, 30-minute, 1-hour, and 1-day timeframes are bearish, with the daily showing a solid downtrend. This creates a conflict: the immediate and daily trends are bearish, while the intermediate timeframes are bullish. The 30-minute signal is therefore a counter-trend bounce within a daily downtrend, but it aligns with the intermediate-term bullish structure. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12731 and support at 1.11839. A break above resistance could open the door to further upside, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (EMA 200, SMA 200) suggest price found support at a key dynamic level.
  • ▲ ADXR Trend Strong indicates the current trend (even if short-term) has strength, which can fuel momentum.
  • ▲ Bullish Harami and AO Saucer Bullish provide candlestick and momentum confluence.
  • ▲ Intermediate timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h, 12h) are bullish, aligning with the signal direction.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The daily timeframe is bearish with a solid trend, which could overpower the short-term bounce.
  • ▼ The 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes are all bearish, so the immediate trend is against the signal.
  • ▼ If price fails to hold above the nearest support at 1.11839, the bullish setup is invalidated.
  • ▼ The KST Zero Cross Down is a bearish signal on its own, which conflicts with the bullish cluster and may indicate momentum is still weak.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12731 2026-11-04
S1 1.11839 2026-11-04
S2 1.11750 2026-11-03
S3 1.11477 2026-11-02

Tags

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