EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 12:30 UTC 15 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.36 %

Entry

1.12634

Target

1.12224 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.13137 −0.45 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ER Level Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, Bearish Harami +1 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 552 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
07:00TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.94
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a short-term pullback or reversal.
The broader trend is bullish across most timeframes, so this sell signal may be counter-trend.
Key support at 1.12224 is the level to watch; a break could confirm further downside.
Strong signal confluence (indicators + candlesticks) increases the reliability of the bearish move.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a confluence of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, an ER Level Cross Down, a Bearish Harami, and a High Wave Bearish candlestick pattern. These signals indicate a shift in market momentum and a potential short-term reversal from the prevailing bullish bias. The probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, suggesting a high degree of alignment among the indicators and patterns.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bullish across most timeframes, from the 15-minute up to the 12-hour charts, with the 1-hour and 2-hour showing solid trends. The only bearish timeframe is the daily, which is a solid trend. This creates a conflicting picture: the immediate bearish signals are counter to the medium-term bullish trend. The nearest support is at 1.12224, which could act as a key level to watch. If the bearish move fails to break this support, the bullish trend may resume.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish signals (BOP, ER, candlestick patterns) align on the 30-minute timeframe.
▼ The daily timeframe is bearish, providing a longer-term bearish backdrop.
▼ The signal strength is very strong, indicating high conviction in the move.

Risk Factors

▲ The bullish trend across most intraday and medium-term timeframes could override the bearish signal.
▲ If price holds above support at 1.12224, the bearish move may be shallow and reverse quickly.
▲ Momentum indicators on higher timeframes are still bullish, suggesting the pullback could be temporary.
▲ Watch for a break below 1.12224 to confirm the bearish continuation; otherwise, the signal may fail.