EUR/USD – 8H – SELL

SELL NEW
6 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.31 %
Entry
1.12282
Target
1.11044 +1.10 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12696 −0.37 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 10 candles (3.3 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 10
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 8h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 316 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 316 closed forex 8h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.64 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.43 % 18 % at stop avg −0.60 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, BOP Zero Cross Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
55.7 % – first candle
MODERATE Swing
▲ Bullish 34 % (3.04) ▼ Bearish 66 % (5.85)
model score 65.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  8H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURFactory Orders y/y●●○Forecast 6.2%Previous 2.7%in 2h
  • TodayEURFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast -4.3%Previous -10.6%in 2h
  • TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 1.65
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.47
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
▲ KST Zero Cross Up indicator 1.39
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.20

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPTrend forming
1D
UPSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Momentum signals are bearish on the 8H, but they are counter to the higher-timeframe bullish trend.
  • Watch the nearest support at 1.11044; a break below would strengthen the sell signal.
  • Resistance at 1.12696 is the invalidation level for the bearish case.
  • The 2H and 1D solid uptrends argue for caution on the sell side.
The 8H EUR/USD signal fires a SELL with a cluster of momentum indicators aligning bearishly: BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, ER Level Cross Down, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, and KST Zero Cross Up (which is a bullish cross, but in this context indicates a potential upward reversal in momentum that may be fading). This suggests that the recent upward move has stretched too far and is ripe for a pullback. However, the broader trend across timeframes is predominantly bullish, with the 2H and 1D showing solid uptrends (3/5), while the 15m and 30m are bearish. This creates a conflicting picture: the signal is counter-trend against the higher timeframe bullish bias, which reduces its reliability and suggests the move may be a corrective pullback rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12696 and support at 1.11044. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a hold above could see the bullish trend resume.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, ER, ZSCORE) align bearish, suggesting overbought conditions.
  • ▼ The 15m and 30m are bearish, indicating early selling pressure.
  • ▼ KST Zero Cross Up may signal a momentum shift that could precede a decline.
  • ▼ Extreme high ZSCORE exit suggests price is stretched beyond normal levels.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframe trends (2H, 1D) are bullish, which could absorb the bearish momentum and lead to a bounce.
  • ▲ The signal is counter-trend; if price holds above 1.12696, the sell setup is invalidated.
  • ▲ The 1H and 4H are bullish, adding to the conflicting picture.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade quickly if the pullback is shallow, as seen in the choppy 15m action.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 8H
Direction SELL
Conviction 66%
Strength MODERATE
Date 2026-11-04 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12696 2026-10-16
R2 1.16538 2026-09-09
R3 1.17109 2026-08-21
S1 1.11044 2026-10-29

Tags

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