GBP/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED
16 hours ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.29 %
Entry
213.607
Target
211.550 +0.96 %
closes in profit
Stop
215.592 −0.93 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, BOP Zero Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.8 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 13.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 916 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
GBP/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayGBPBoE MPC Vote Unchanged●●○Previous 6in 7h
  • TodayGBPBoE MPC Vote Hike●●○Previous 3in 7h
  • TodayGBPBoE MPC Vote Cut●●○Previous 0in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 90%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 2.26
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.72
▲ KST Signal Cross Up indicator 1.51
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.48
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.47
▲ ER Level Cross Up indicator 1.41
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.07
▼ STC OB Entry indicator 1.06

Trend Context

15M
UPVery strong trend
30M
UPSolid trend
1H
UPSolid trend
2H
UPSolid trend
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPTrend forming
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish 1H signals are firing against a strongly bullish multi-timeframe trend.
  • Treat this as a short-term pullback, not a trend reversal.
  • Watch the 211.550 support level for confirmation or invalidation.
  • Use tight risk management given the conflicting higher-timeframe trend.
The 1H GBP/JPY chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a Bearish Engulfing candlestick, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and HMA Retreat Down, alongside several momentum and volatility gauges (ER Level Cross Up, KST Signal Cross Up, STC OB Entry, ZSCORE Extreme High Exit) that point to an overbought condition and a potential pullback. However, the broader trend across all timeframes is bullish, with strong trend scores on the 15m through 2h charts and forming trends on the 4h and 8h. This creates a conflict: the immediate momentum has turned lower, but the higher-timeframe trend remains firmly up.

Traders should treat this as a counter-trend sell signal within a larger uptrend. The nearest support at 211.550 is the key level to watch; a break below it would confirm bearish momentum and open the door for a deeper correction. Conversely, if price holds above support and the bullish trend resumes, the sell signal could be quickly invalidated. Given the strong bullish alignment across timeframes, the sell signal is best viewed as a short-term fade rather than a trend reversal, and any short positions should be managed with tight risk controls.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple bearish indicators and a Bearish Engulfing pattern on the 1H chart.
  • ▼ Overbought conditions signaled by STC OB Entry and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit.
  • ▼ Momentum divergence indicated by KST Signal Cross Up and ER Level Cross Up.
  • ▼ Nearest support at 211.550 provides a clear downside target.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Strong bullish trend across all timeframes could overpower the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Higher-timeframe trends (15m-8h) are all bullish, suggesting the pullback may be shallow.
  • ▲ A break above recent highs would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ Fading momentum could lead to a quick reversal back to the upside.
Symbol GBP/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-04 11:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
S1 211.55000 2026-11-03
S2 210.28800 2026-10-30
S3 209.97100 2026-10-29

Tags

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