ICP/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-11-04 17:00 UTC 10 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.62 %

Entry

2.5920

Target

2.4080 +7.10 %

closes in profit

Stop

2.6420 −1.93 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 11 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 6,802 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,802 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.61 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.51 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.50 % 23 % at stop avg −2.02 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), HMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

37.9 % ↑ +2.0 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Intraday

▲ Bullish 27 % (4.74) ▼ Bearish 73 % (12.80)

model score 8.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 11 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.4 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,989 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ICP/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.45
▲	RSI OB Exit	indicator	2.26
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.85
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.77
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.71
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.54
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.51
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.36
▲	Upside Gap Three Method	candlestick	1.19
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.11
▼	RSX OB Entry	indicator	1.09

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPSolid trend

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, RSI, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ, RSX) are exiting overbought and turning down, signaling a short-term bearish reversal.
The sell signal aligns with the bearish trend on 8H, 12H, and 1D, but lower timeframes are still bullish, suggesting a possible correction rather than a full reversal.
Watch support at 2.40800—a break below confirms the bearish move; resistance at 2.64200 is the key invalidation level.
Moderate strength and 67% probability mean the signal is not extremely strong; wait for confirmation before acting.

The 1H SELL signal on ICP/USDT is driven by a cluster of momentum oscillators exiting overbought conditions and turning lower—BOP Zero Cross Down, RSI OB Exit, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, KDJ Cross Down, and RSX OB Entry—alongside HMA Retreat Down and ACCBANDS Upper Retreat. This suggests short-term buying pressure is fading and a pullback is likely. The signal aligns with the broader bearish structure on higher timeframes: 8H, 12H, and 1D trends are bearish, while lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H, 2H, 4H) are bullish but mostly choppy or just forming. This mixed alignment indicates the sell signal may be a counter-trend correction within a larger downtrend, which can still offer meaningful downside if the pullback extends.

Key levels to watch are immediate support at 2.40800 and resistance at 2.64200. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum and likely open the path toward lower levels, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish case. Given the moderate strength and 67% probability, the signal is not overwhelming, so traders should wait for confirmation, such as a close below support or a sustained move lower, before committing. The confluence of multiple overbought exits and downward crosses increases the likelihood of a retracement, but the bullish lower timeframes suggest the pullback could be shallow if higher timeframe buyers step in.

Catalysts

▼ Strong confluence of overbought exits and downward crosses across multiple oscillators (BOP, RSI, STOCH, WILLR, KDJ, RSX).
▼ Bearish trend on higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) supports the sell signal.
▼ HMA Retreat Down and ACCBANDS Upper Retreat indicate price rejection from upper bands, reinforcing bearish momentum.
▼ Resistance at 2.64200 is likely to cap upside, providing a clear level for short entries.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1H, 2H, 4H) are bullish, which could limit downside and lead to a shallow pullback.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 2.64200, the bearish signal is invalidated and the trend may resume upward.
▲ The signal strength is moderate, and the probability is only 67%, leaving room for failure.
▲ Choppy/sideways trend on 1H and 2H suggests indecision; momentum could fade quickly without a clear break of support.