LINK/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 18:00 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.98 %

Entry

11.351

Target

11.004 +3.06 %

closes in profit

Stop

11.963 −5.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 5 of 14

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 3,623 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,623 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.07 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.08 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.09 % 21 % at stop avg −2.85 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −27.0 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 16 % (1.83) ▼ Bearish 84 % (9.64)

model score 4.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LINK/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.71
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.97
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.39
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▼	ZSCORE Extreme High Exit	indicator	1.19
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.15
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.08

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A 2H sell signal fired with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligning bearish, but strength is weak.
The price is near a resistance zone (11.96300) and a ZSCORE extreme high exit suggests overextension.
Mixed timeframe trends mean the sell signal lacks full confluence; watch for confirmation on lower timeframes.
Key invalidation level is above 11.96300; a break higher would negate the bearish setup.

The 2H SELL signal on LIN/KUSDT is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators, including an APO Zero Cross Up, EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down, HT Phasor and HT Sine Cross Ups, an ER Level Cross Down, HMA Break Down, and a ZSCORE Extreme High Exit. These signals collectively suggest that recent upward momentum has stalled and that the price is likely to revert toward the mean, especially given the extreme ZSCORE reading. The bearish case is supported by the retreat of both key moving averages, indicating that the longer-term trend on this timeframe is turning lower.

However, the trend alignment across timeframes is mixed. While the 15m, 8h, 12h, and 1D timeframes are bearish, the 30m, 1h, and 2h timeframes are still bullish, with the 30m showing a solid trend. This suggests that the sell signal may be early or that the bearish momentum is not yet fully established. The nearest resistance at 11.96300 is a critical level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. Conversely, the nearest support at 11.00400 is the primary downside target. Traders should monitor price action around these levels for confirmation.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple indicators (APO, EMA/SMA 200, HT Phasor/Sine, HMA) all point to downward momentum.
▼ ZSCORE extreme high exit indicates the price is stretched above its mean, increasing reversion risk.
▼ Longer timeframes (8h, 12h, 1D) are bearish, supporting a broader downtrend.
▼ Resistance at 11.96300 is a clear level where sellers may step in.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (30m, 1h, 2h) are still bullish, which could override the bearish signal.
▲ The signal strength is weak (62% probability), reducing confidence.
▲ If the price breaks above 11.96300 resistance, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ The 2h trend is choppy/sideways, which can lead to false signals and whipsaws.