LUNC/USDT – 2H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 18:00 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.62 %

Entry

0.00004134

Target

0.00004012 +2.95 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004368 −5.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 5 of 14

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 2h signals ended in profit · on average +0.04 % per trade 3,623 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,623 closed crypto 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.07 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.08 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.09 % 21 % at stop avg −2.85 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 2h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, KDJ Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −2.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 34 % (5.01) ▼ Bearish 66 % (9.83)

model score 3.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 5 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.13
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.50
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.38
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.35
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.23
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.02
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish momentum signals are stacking on the 2H, but the trend is not yet confirmed on that timeframe.
Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are strongly bearish, supporting the sell bias.
Price is at a key level with support and resistance both at 0.00004, so a clear break is needed.
Watch for a shift in HT TRENDMODE back to trend or a lower timeframe bullish reversal to invalidate the signal.

The 2H SELL signal on LUN/CUSDT is driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators aligning bearish: CCI OB Exit signals fading upside momentum, STOCHF KD Cross Down and KDJ Cross Down confirm short-term downside momentum, while BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down shows price rejecting the upper band. The HT PHASOR and HT SINE crosses, along with HT TRENDMODE shifting to cycle, suggest a potential trend transition to the downside. The ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down adds to the bearish confluence.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but leans bearish. The higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish with solid to extremely strong trend scores, while the lower timeframes (15m, 30m) are bearish but choppy. The 1H and 2H are still bullish, but the 2H is only a forming trend, suggesting the bearish pressure from higher timeframes may be starting to dominate. Key levels are tight: nearest resistance and support both at 0.00004, indicating a compressed range. A break below this support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Strong bearish alignment across 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
▼ Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, STOCHF, KDJ) confirm downside pressure.
▼ BBANDS upper band rejection indicates selling interest at higher prices.
▼ Hilbert Transform indicators suggest a potential cycle shift to bearish.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes are choppy and 1H/2H are still bullish, which could lead to whipsaw.
▲ Support and resistance are at the same level, making the market direction unclear until a break.
▲ If price holds above 0.00004 and pushes higher, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Momentum could fade if the HT TRENDMODE flips back to trend mode bullish.