NEAR/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 16:00 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.25 %

Entry

3.9870

Target

3.9290 +1.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

4.5690 −14.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 3 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +11 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Swing

▲ Bullish 19 % (8.85) ▼ Bearish 81 % (37.12)

model score 4.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for NEAR/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h
13:30TomorrowUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30TomorrowUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	3.18
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.98
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	1.79
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▲	KST Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.30
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.15
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.13
▲	AROON Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▲	AROONOSC Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.09
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.94
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals (trendline break, momentum crossovers) points to a strong sell bias on the 4H chart.
Momentum oscillators (AROON, BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI) have all flipped bearish, confirming the shift in control.
Key support at 3.90900 is the immediate downside target; a break below it would confirm the bearish trend.
Mixed higher-timeframe trends (some bullish, some bearish) warrant caution, but the overall momentum is bearish.

The 4H chart for NEA/RUSDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a suite of momentum oscillators (AROON, BOP, CCI, CMO, RSI) all flipping lower. This confluence suggests a decisive shift in short-term momentum, with sellers stepping in aggressively after the trendline gave way. The AROON Cross Up and AROON Strong Uptrend indicate that the recent up-move has lost its strength, while the BOP Zero Cross Down confirms that buying pressure has been overtaken by selling pressure. The CCI OB Exit and RSI Midline Cross Down further validate that the bullish phase has ended and downside momentum is building.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed but tilts bearish: the 15m, 30m, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are all bearish, while the 1h, 2h, and 4h are still bullish but with weak trend scores (2/5). This suggests the higher-timeframe bullish trend is fragile and may be rolling over, aligning with the bearish signal on the 4H. The nearest support sits at 3.90900, and a break below that level would confirm the bearish outlook and open the path toward further downside. Conversely, the nearest resistance at 4.56900 is a key barrier; a reclaim of that level would invalidate the bearish signal and suggest the pullback is merely a correction.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple independent signal groups (indicator, trendline, candlestick) all pointing in the same direction.
▼ Trendline Break Down provides a clear technical invalidation level and often precedes extended moves.
▼ Bearish momentum across the majority of timeframes (15m, 30m, 8h, 12h, 1d) aligns with the 4H signal.
▼ Strong signal strength (80% probability) and a high number of confirming indicators (20+ signals) increase confidence.

Risk Factors

▲ The 1h, 2h, and 4h timeframes are still bullish, which could mean the sell signal is a pullback within a larger uptrend.
▲ A reclaim of the broken trendline or a move above the nearest resistance at 4.56900 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Low trend scores (2/5) across all timeframes indicate that trends are still forming and could easily reverse.
▲ RSI and CMO are already near oversold levels, so a bounce is possible if selling momentum fades.