NZD/USD – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-04 18:00 UTC 6 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.45 %

Entry

0.56224

Target

0.55706 +0.92 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56516 −0.52 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 1 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 575 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 575 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish, EMA 50 Break Down, HMA Break Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 4 % (1.28) ▼ Bearish 96 % (27.92)

model score 12.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bearish	indicator	2.29
▼	EMA 50 Break Down	indicator	2.00
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.91
▼	DPO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	1.85
▼	VIDYA Break Down	indicator	1.75
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▼	BIAS Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	1.34
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.28
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	CMO Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.92
▼	RSI Midline Cross Down	indicator	0.92
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.90
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.90
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	0.90

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum and trend indicators align bearish on the 4H, with multiple zero/midline crosses down.
Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are all bearish, supporting the sell signal.
Watch 0.56516 as resistance; a break above would weaken the bearish case.
First downside target is support at 0.55706; a break below could extend losses.

A dense cluster of momentum and trend indicators has fired simultaneously on the NZD/USD 4H chart, all pointing to a continuation of the bearish move. The CMO, MOM, ROC, ROCR, and RSI all crossed their zero/midline levels downward, while the STOCH KD cross down confirms fading upside momentum. The EMA 50 and KAMA breaks down add trend-following confirmation, reinforcing that the recent pullback has ended and sellers are regaining control.

Across timeframes, the higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H, 1D) are all bearish, with the 12H and 1D showing solid trend strength (3/5). The shorter timeframes (15m to 2H) are mixed, but the 1H shows a forming bullish trend—this is a potential headwind. The nearest resistance at 0.56516 is the immediate barrier for any bounce, while the nearest support at 0.55706 is the first downside target. A break below support would open the door for further declines, but a close back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 12+ indicators all firing in the same direction (bearish).
▼ Higher timeframe trend alignment: 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D all bearish.
▼ EMA 50 and KAMA breaks down confirm trend continuation.
▼ Strong trend scores on 12H and 1D (3/5) suggest solid downside momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (15m-2H) are mixed, with the 1H showing a bullish trend forming—could trigger a bounce.
▲ A close above the nearest resistance at 0.56516 would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Momentum indicators are already stretched; a pullback or consolidation is possible.
▲ If support at 0.55706 holds, the pair may range, reducing the reward-to-risk of a fresh short.