USD/CAD – 2H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 12 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

1.39553

Target

1.40686 +0.81 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37770 −1.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 6 of 14

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 958 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

20 % at target avg +0.40 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +13% Intraday

▲ Bullish 89 % (40.17) ▼ Bearish 11 % (5.08)

model score 5.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 17.4 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 552 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.78
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.74
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.67
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.57
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.41
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.26
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.26
▲	Spinning Top Bullish	candlestick	0.85

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bullish signals fired on the 2H chart, indicating strong short-term upward momentum.
The broader trend is bearish across most timeframes, so this could be a counter-trend bounce rather than a full reversal.
Key levels: resistance at 1.40686 and support at 1.39502. A break above resistance would strengthen the bullish case; a drop below support would invalidate it.
The signal has high probability and strength, but traders should be cautious given the conflicting higher timeframe trend.

The 2H chart for USD/CAD has triggered a dense cluster of bullish signals, including a Trendline Break Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, HMA Retreat Up, and HMA Direction Up. This confluence suggests strong short-term buying pressure and a potential reversal from oversold conditions. The signal probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, indicating high alignment among the indicators.

However, the broader trend context is predominantly bearish across higher timeframes, with the 30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, and 1d all showing bearish trends, though some are only trend forming. The 15m is bullish but choppy. This creates a conflict: the 2H signal is bullish, but the higher timeframe trend is bearish. The nearest resistance at 1.40686 is a key level to watch; a break above could confirm the bullish reversal, while failure to hold above support at 1.39502 would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (trendline break, BOP, CCI, STOCHRSI, BBANDS, ERI, HMA) on the 2H chart.
▲ Oversold conditions exiting (CCI OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up) suggest a bounce is likely.
▲ Strong signal probability (100%) and very strong strength indicate high reliability of the signal.
▲ The 15m timeframe is bullish, providing some intraday support for the move.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframe trend is bearish (30m, 1h, 2h, 4h, 8h, 1d), which could limit the upside or lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
▼ The nearest resistance at 1.40686 is a significant hurdle; failure to break above could result in a pullback.
▼ If price falls below the nearest support at 1.39502, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
▼ The 15m trend is choppy, indicating potential for erratic price action.