USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 17:30 UTC 10 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.07 %

Entry

1.39638

Target

1.39296 +0.24 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.40145 −0.36 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Down, ALMA Break Down, SMA 200 Break Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.71
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.70
▼	SMA 200 Break Down	indicator	2.68
▼	EMA 50 Break Down	indicator	2.58
▲	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Up	indicator	2.40
▼	BBANDS UPPER Retreat Down	indicator	2.26
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.26
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.17
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.20
▲	Matching Low	candlestick	1.18
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.03

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 30-minute chart points to a strong short-term downside move.
Higher timeframes (1H to 8H) are bearish, and the daily trend is solidly down, aligning with the sell signal.
Key support at 1.39296 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 1.40145 is the level to watch for invalidation.
The 15-minute and 30-minute charts still show bullish bias, so the bearish move is not yet fully confirmed.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a CCI OB Exit, a retreat from the upper Bollinger Band, and break-downs of the EMA 200, SMA 200, ALMA, and HMA. The confluence of these indicators points to a strong short-term momentum shift to the downside, with the price likely to test the nearest support at 1.39296. The higher timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, with the 1H through 8H charts all showing bearish trend formation, and the daily chart displaying a solid downtrend. This alignment suggests that the 30-minute sell signal is in harmony with the broader market direction, increasing the probability of a continued move lower.

However, the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are still showing bullish bias, which introduces a degree of conflict. The 30-minute trend is labeled as 'trend forming' with a strength of 2/5, indicating that the bearish momentum is not yet fully established. The nearest resistance at 1.40145 is a key level to watch; a break back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should monitor price action around the support zone for signs of a bounce or a decisive break, which will confirm the next directional move.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple indicators: CCI OB Exit, Bollinger Band retreat, and break-downs of EMA 200, SMA 200, ALMA, and HMA.
▼ Higher timeframe alignment: 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, and 1D all bearish, supporting the 30-minute sell signal.
▼ Daily chart shows a solid downtrend (3/5 strength), providing a strong macro backdrop.
▼ Fibonacci and candlestick signal groups add to the confluence of bearish factors.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or a reversal.
▲ The 30-minute trend is only 'forming' with moderate strength (2/5), so momentum may not be sustained.
▲ A break back above the nearest resistance at 1.40145 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ The 12-hour chart is choppy/sideways, indicating potential range-bound behavior that could cap downside moves.