USD/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-04 14:00 UTC 10 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.07 %

Entry

1.39638

Target

1.40686 +0.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37296 −1.68 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 575 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 575 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.42 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Bottom, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit +5 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +30% Swing

▲ Bullish 96 % (43.23) ▼ Bearish 4 % (1.67)

model score 6.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Double Bottombreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.12
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.82
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.74
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.71
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.69
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.18
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.86

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish signals fired on the 4H chart, led by a Double Bottom and multiple oversold exit indicators.
The buy is counter-trend: higher timeframes (1H to Daily) remain bearish, so treat this as a corrective bounce.
Watch the 1.40686 resistance as the immediate upside target; a break above could extend the move.
The invalidation level is 1.39418 support—if price closes below it, the bullish setup is void.

The USD/CAD 4H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, led by a Double Bottom chart pattern and a suite of momentum oscillators exiting oversold conditions (CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, CTI OS Entry, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up). The BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up and SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down add volatility and range-expansion confirmation, while HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up points to a cyclical turn. Together, these signals suggest a short-term bounce is underway within a broader bearish trend.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m and 30m charts are bullish, but the 1H through 8H remain bearish, and the daily trend is solidly bearish. This means the buy signal is counter-trend on the higher timeframes, so the move is likely a corrective rally rather than a reversal. The nearest resistance at 1.40686 is the immediate upside target, while support at 1.39418 is the key level to watch—if price breaks below it, the bullish setup is invalidated.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of 9+ signals from both chart pattern and indicator groups, including a Double Bottom and multiple oversold exits.
▲ Momentum oscillators (CCI, STOCH, CTI, ERI) all confirming a bullish turn from oversold conditions.
▲ Volatility expansion signals (BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down) suggest a range breakout is starting.
▲ Short-term timeframes (15m, 30m) are already bullish, providing early trend alignment for the bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframe trend is bearish (1H through Daily), so the buy is counter-trend and may be limited.
▼ The 15m trend is rated only 1/5 (choppy/sideways), indicating weak momentum behind the early bounce.
▼ If price fails to break above 1.40686 resistance, the rally could fizzle and reverse lower.
▼ A break below 1.39418 support would invalidate the Double Bottom and signal a continuation of the downtrend.