USD/CHF – 1D – SELL

SELL NEW
6 hours ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.40 %
Entry
0.81711
Target
0.79494 +2.71 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.83950 −2.74 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 8 candles (8 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 8
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 6,654 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,654 closed forex signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.35 % 32 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.18 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.19 % 12 % at stop avg −0.43 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Position
▲ Bullish 8 % (2.42) ▼ Bearish 92 % (26.37)
model score 91.6 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CHF  ·  1D
Loading…
Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TodayCHFUnemployment Rate●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.1%in 2h
  • TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h
  • TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 9h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.31
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.97
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.84
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.76
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.55
▼ QQE Midline Cross Down indicator 1.52
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.52
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.29
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.21
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.13
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.13
▼ Spinning Top Bearish candlestick 0.84

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A strong bearish signal on USD/CHF daily, backed by trendline, indicator, and candlestick patterns.
  • Higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h) align bearish, but the daily itself is choppy, and 15m is bullish.
  • Key resistance at 0.83950 is the invalidation level; support at 0.79494 is the downside target.
  • Probability is very high at 91%, but confirmation from price action is essential.
The USD/CHF daily chart has triggered a comprehensive SELL signal, driven by a confluence of trendline, indicator, and candlestick factors. The Trendline Break Down indicates a breakdown below a key support line, while the BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure. The STOCHRSI KD Cross Down adds momentum confirmation, and the retreats of the EMA 50, MAMA PRICE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE all point to a bearish shift in trend structure. This multi-signal alignment, with a very strong probability of 91%, suggests that the bearish momentum is robust and likely to persist.

Across higher timeframes (2h, 4h, 8h), the trend is solidly bearish, which supports the daily signal. However, the daily timeframe itself is choppy, and the 15m shows a conflicting bullish bias, indicating that the sell-off may be part of a broader consolidation. The nearest resistance at 0.83950 is a critical level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish thesis. Conversely, the nearest support at 0.79494 offers a potential downside target, but traders should be cautious of the choppy conditions and the possibility of a bounce before reaching that level.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple signals: Trendline Break Down, BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat patterns.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trend on 2h, 4h, and 8h timeframes.
  • ▼ Strong trend score (very strong) and high signal probability (91%).
  • ▼ Bearish sentiment across most timeframes, with only the 15m showing a conflicting bullish bias.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Daily timeframe is choppy/sideways, which can lead to false breakouts or reversals.
  • ▲ The 15m bullish trend could signal a short-term bounce that may delay the bearish move.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.83950 would invalidate the bearish signal.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the price fails to break below the nearest support at 0.79494 with conviction.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 1D
Direction SELL
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-03 22:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.83950 2026-10-14
S1 0.79494 2026-08-20

Tags

Similar Signals