USD/CHF – 1H – BUY

BUY 3× UPDATED

2026-11-04 19:00 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.40 %

Entry

0.81722

Target

0.82171 +0.55 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.81274 −0.55 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 8 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: T3 Break Up, STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, MIDPOINT Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +7% Intraday

▲ Bullish 100 % (9.38) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 11.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 9 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 14.6 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 616 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

06:45TodayCHFUnemployment Rate●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.1%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	2.09
▲	STOCHRSI KD Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	1.55
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	1.52
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.51
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	1.40
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.19
▲	Short Line Bullish	candlestick	1.16
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.09
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Short-term bullish signals on the 1H chart are firing, but they are counter to the broader bearish trend on higher timeframes.
Resistance at 0.82171 is the immediate upside target; a break above could signal a deeper correction or reversal.
Support at 0.81274 is the invalidation level; a close below it would negate the bullish setup.
The signal's high probability and very strong strength suggest strong intraday momentum, but trend alignment across timeframes is mixed.

The 1H USD/CHF chart has triggered a cluster of bullish signals, including a STOCHRSI KD Cross Up, DEMA Retreat Up, and a break above the T3 line, alongside retreats off the HT TRENDLINE, MIDPOINT, and MIDPRICE. These signals suggest that the short-term momentum has shifted upward, with the KELTNER MID Cross Up adding to the bullish case. However, the broader trend context is bearish, with solid downtrends on the 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes, and the 1H trend is still forming. This creates a potential conflict: the intraday bounce may be a countertrend move within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.82171 and support at 0.81274. A sustained move above the resistance would challenge the bearish structure, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish signal. The high probability (93%) and very strong strength of the signal suggest that the immediate upward pressure is significant, but traders should be cautious of the higher timeframe bearish alignment. The signal is best viewed as a tactical long within a larger bearish trend, with a clear invalidation level at the nearest support.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals fired simultaneously, including STOCHRSI KD Cross Up and T3 Break Up, indicating strong short-term momentum.
▲ The DEMA Retreat Up and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up suggest that price is bouncing off key moving averages and trendlines, providing confluence.
▲ The KELTNER MID Cross Up adds to the bullish case, as price moves above the middle band of the Keltner Channel.
▲ The signal strength is 'very strong' with a 93% probability, reflecting high confidence in the immediate direction.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are in solid downtrends, which could overwhelm the 1H bullish signal and lead to a failed bounce.
▼ The 1H trend is still forming (2/5), meaning the bullish move may lack established trend support.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 0.81274 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely trigger a continuation of the broader downtrend.
▼ The 15m and 30m trends are choppy/sideways, indicating that the immediate momentum may not be fully reliable.