USD/CHF – 1H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-11-04 20:00 UTC 7 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.35 %

Entry

0.81683

Target

0.81274 +0.50 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.82171 −0.60 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 7 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +13 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +24.0 vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +7% Intraday

▲ Bullish 11 % (4.03) ▼ Bearish 89 % (32.39)

model score 88.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

06:45TodayCHFUnemployment Rate●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.1%in 2h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h
13:30TodayUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.05
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.86
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.79
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	STOCHRSI KD Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	VORTEX Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.25
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.19
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.15
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.10
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.10

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful bearish signal cluster on the 1H chart, including a trendline break and multiple zero-cross downs, points to continued downside.
Higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) are in solid bearish trends, aligning with the 1H signal.
Key levels: resistance at 0.82171, support at 0.81274—watch for a break of support to confirm further decline.
The extreme signal strength (100%) suggests a high-conviction move, but be alert for potential exhaustion or a false breakdown.

A dense cluster of bearish signals has fired on the USD/CHF 1H chart, led by a trendline break and reinforced by zero-cross downs on BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR, plus a STOCHRSI KD cross down and retreats from the EMA 50 and KAMA. This confluence of momentum, volume, and trend-following indicators points to a strong downside push, with the 1H trend now forming and higher timeframes (2H, 4H, 8H) already in solid bearish trends. The alignment across multiple timeframes supports a continuation of the sell-off, with the nearest resistance at 0.82171 acting as a barrier to any bounce and the nearest support at 0.81274 as the next downside target.

However, the signal's probability is rated at 100% with very strong strength, which is rare and warrants caution—such extreme readings can sometimes precede exhaustion. The 15m, 30m, and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating that the broader daily trend lacks conviction, and the 1H trend is only 'forming' rather than solid. Traders should watch for a failure to break below the 0.81274 support, which could signal a false breakdown, and monitor whether momentum indicators begin to diverge or flatten. A close back above the broken trendline or the 0.82171 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum and trend indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHRSI) all turning down simultaneously.
▼ Trendline break on the 1H chart, a classic bearish continuation signal.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 2H, 4H, and 8H timeframes supporting the 1H direction.
▼ Price retreating from the EMA 50 and KAMA, confirming bearish momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15m, 30m, and 1D timeframes are choppy/sideways, which could mute follow-through.
▲ The 1H trend is only 'forming' (2/5) and may lack the strength to push through the 0.81274 support.
▲ A close back above the broken trendline or the 0.82171 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal.
▲ Given the extreme signal strength, there is a risk of a sharp counter-trend bounce or short squeeze.