USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 19:30 UTC 8 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.40 %

Entry

158.489

Target

158.779 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.397 −0.69 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.94
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	1.89
▲	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.75
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.60
▲	Bullish Separating Lines	candlestick	1.20
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish signal on USD/JPY 30m with multiple indicators aligning.
Trend is bullish but choppy across most timeframes—momentum may be limited.
Key resistance at 158.768; a break above could extend gains.
Support at 157.397 is the critical invalidation level.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, led by a BOP Zero Cross Up and a BBANDS Middle Cross Up, with multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA 200) all pointing higher. The KDJ Cross Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down add momentum and cycle confirmation, while the candlestick group reinforces the bullish bias. Across timeframes, the trend is bullish and choppy/sideways from 15m up to 4h, and even the daily is bullish, though the 8h and 12h are bearish—so the higher timeframe is mixed. The immediate resistance sits at 158.768, with support at 157.397; a break above resistance would open the path higher, while a loss of support would invalidate the setup.

Given the very strong signal strength (95% probability) and the alignment of multiple indicators on the 30m, the bullish case is compelling in the short term. However, the choppy/sideways nature of the trend across all timeframes (score 1/5) suggests limited momentum, and the bearish 8h/12h bias could cap upside. Traders should watch for a sustained move above 158.768 to confirm bullish continuation; failure to hold above the middle Bollinger Band or a drop below 157.397 would signal weakness.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple moving-average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, SMA 200) all pointing up.
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up and BBANDS Middle Cross Up add volume and volatility confirmation.
▲ KDJ Cross Up and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down provide momentum and cycle support.
▲ Bullish alignment across 15m-4h and daily timeframes.

Risk Factors

▼ Choppy/sideways trend (score 1/5) across all timeframes suggests weak momentum.
▼ Bearish 8h and 12h timeframes could cap upside.
▼ Failure to break above 158.768 may lead to consolidation or reversal.
▼ A close below 157.397 would invalidate the bullish setup.