USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 10:30 UTC 17 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.09 %

Entry

158.539

Target

158.829 +0.18 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.397 −0.72 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish, ALMA Retreat Up, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 5 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish	indicator	2.62
▲	ALMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.21
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.13
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▼	KDJ OB Entry	indicator	1.75
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.70
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.63
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	Belt Hold Bullish	candlestick	1.28
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish momentum on the 30m chart with multiple indicators confirming the move.
Trend is forming on lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) but higher timeframes are still bearish.
Watch resistance at 158.76800 for a breakout; support at 157.39700 is the key downside level.
High signal probability (95%) suggests a high-conviction setup, but be mindful of conflicting higher timeframe trends.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish indicators, including the APO Zero Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, DX Trend Strong, STOCHF KD Cross Up, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA), all pointing to strong upward momentum. The bullish alignment is consistent across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes, all showing trend formation (2/5), which supports the idea that the move is gaining traction. The very strong signal strength (95% probability) reflects the confluence of momentum, trend, and candlestick signals, suggesting a high-probability setup for a continuation higher.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.76800 and support at 157.39700. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum and open the path for further gains, while a hold above support keeps the bullish structure intact. However, the higher timeframes (2h through 12h) are still bearish and choppy, which could limit the upside or trigger a reversal. Traders should monitor whether the 30m trend can lift the higher timeframes into bullish territory, or if the bearish pressure from the 4h and 8h charts will weigh on the pair. The risk of a false breakout or a pullback to support remains, so maintaining a disciplined approach around these levels is essential.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals (APO, BOP, STOCHF, moving-average retreats) strengthens the case for upward momentum.
▲ Trend alignment across the 15m, 30m, and 1h timeframes supports a developing bullish bias.
▲ Strong trend score (DX Trend Strong) and very high signal strength indicate robust momentum.
▲ Holding above the nearest support at 157.39700 would keep the bullish structure intact.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2h to 12h) are bearish and choppy, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.39700 would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Momentum could fade if price fails to break above resistance at 158.76800, leading to consolidation.
▼ Choppy conditions on higher timeframes may cause false signals or whipsaws.