USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-04 11:00 UTC 16 hours ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.07 %

Entry

158.506

Target

157.397 +0.70 %

closes in profit

Stop

159.291 −0.50 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +3 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:30TodayUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 9h
13:30TodayUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (4 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	2.07
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.78
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.70
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.59
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.53
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	1.05

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 30M chart suggest short-term selling pressure, but they are not aligned with higher timeframes.
The 15m to 1h timeframes remain bullish, so this sell signal may be a pullback within an uptrend.
Watch the 157.397 support level; a break below it would strengthen the bearish case.
Resistance at 158.768 is the immediate upside barrier; a reclaim would invalidate the bearish setup.

The 30-minute USD/JPY chart is flashing a confluence of bearish signals, led by a strong ADX trend reading and a cluster of downside crossovers (BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down, ER Level Cross Down). The KDJ has exited overbought territory, and the HMA is retreating, all pointing to short-term selling pressure. However, the broader picture is mixed: the 15m to 1h timeframes are still bullish (trend forming at 2/5), while the 4h to 12h timeframes are bearish but choppy. This suggests the sell signal is a counter-trend move within a larger bullish bias, likely a pullback rather than a reversal. Key levels to watch are resistance at 158.768 and support at 157.397; a break below support would confirm further downside, while holding above it could see the pair resume its uptrend.

Catalysts

▼ Strong ADX trend reading on the 30M confirms the bearish momentum.
▼ Multiple crossovers (BOP, STOCH, HT PHASOR, ER) align, reinforcing the sell signal.
▼ KDJ exit from overbought territory adds to the bearish confluence.
▼ HMA retreat signals a short-term trend reversal to the downside.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (15m-1h) are still bullish, which could cap downside and lead to a bounce.
▲ The 4h-12h timeframes are bearish but choppy, so momentum may be inconsistent.
▲ If price holds above 157.397 support, the sell signal could fade and the uptrend resume.
▲ A move back above 158.768 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a false breakout.